Match Info

VHL

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets Sporta (Naberezhnye Chelny)


	Chelny		Magnitka Magnitogorsk

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.45	1.65	Watch
	3.6	3.8	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.58)	4.13 ↓ (4.15)	1.66 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelny
23.2%

Draw
22%

Magnitka Magnitogorsk
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

22.6%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

22%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Magnitka Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Chelny - Magnitka Magnitogorsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Magnitka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Chelny (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelny (votes: 1 - 50%). Magnitka (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
80. Gorokhov N. (G)	20. Kramzin Y. (G)
5. Davydov D.	28. Zhukov K.
72. Kolmagorov K. (A)	7. Timashov N.
10. Ustimkin M.	31. Mirzabalayev A.
68. Silayev I. (C)	18. Tyutnev P.
29. Manukyan A.	9. Boltanov A.
Line 2
44. Vinogradov A.	63. Vaulin M.
50. Motygullin B. (A)	32. Shetle E.
86. Minnekhanov T.	93. Nechayev I.
22. Minnekhanov B.	13. Zimin N.
97. Smirnov N.	88. Rybin I.
Line 3
19. Zakharov N.	94. Romanov R.
12. Marin M.	21. Yegorov A.
59. Anufriev I.	74. Zhugin V.
25. Rakhcheev I.	43. Penzin Y.
96. Lomako O.	98. Fursa A.
Line 4
62. Naumov G.	87. Ananyin Y.
83. Mukhin K.	95. Osipovich B.
69. Redkov A.	97. Galenyuk M.
9. Nasyrov M.	99. Kovgorenya A.
Substitutes
20. Smirnov A. (G)	77. Kuzyakin A.
	35. Moiseyev G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
11:41, 0 - 1, Mirzabalayev A. (G), Tyutnev P. (A), Vaulin M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
05:43, 1 - 1, Silayev I. (G), Marin M. (A), Ustimkin M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
16:34, 1 - 2, Boltanov A. (G),
18:42, 1 - 3, Penzin Y. (G),

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Chelny may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Magnitka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chelny won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 2.7:5).

Including home match between the teams, Chelny won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:7.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
20	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	9	4	0	3	2	18:14	11

Last Results with these Odds

Chelny - the odds 3.58 are the expected chance of winning is 26.19%, but this team recently wins 12% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelny
VHL
21.02.26	Chelny - Chelmet	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK	3:4 ✺
15.02.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Chelny	2:5 ✺
13.02.26	Molot Perm - Chelny	2:1 penalties ✺
11.02.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Chelny	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLL
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk
VHL
21.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	5:4 penalties ✺
19.02.26	CSK VVS Samara - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:4 ✺
17.02.26	Bars Kazan - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:1 ✺
11.02.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:4 penalties ✺
09.02.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - SKA-VMF	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
29.09.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Chelny	2:3 OT
13.12.24	Chelny - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:7
03.12.24	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Chelny	6:3

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