Match Info

VHL

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets Sporta (Naberezhnye Chelny)


	Chelny		Gornyak-UGMK

	1	X	2
	3.08	3.79	2.06
	3.44	4.25	1.84	Watch
	3.3	4	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.54)	4.01 ↓ (4.08)	1.9 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chelny
28.3%

Draw
23.1%

Gornyak-UGMK
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

22.6%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

24%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gornyak-UGMK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chelny - Gornyak UGMK Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gornyak-UGMK (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
60. Sartakov V. (G)	93. Romashkin P. (G)
73. Goloshchapov K.	91. Malorosiyanov D.
72. Kolmagorov K. (A)	50. Shchemerov A.
10. Ustimkin M.	7. Gordin A.
22. Minnekhanov B.	13. Zaytsev O. (C)
18. Guskov I.	56. Ovchinnikov I. (A)
Line 2
44. Vinogradov A.	85. Zhuravlyov Y.
50. Motygullin B. (A)	72. Trofimov Y.
59. Anufriev I.	96. Miller N.
68. Silayev I. (C)	14. Makhrin M. (A)
29. Manukyan A.	44. Lukhovskoy N.
Line 3
19. Zakharov N.	4. Bolshakov M.
12. Marin M.	83. Karpovich D.
25. Rakhcheev I.	87. Loza I.
26. Tarasov A.	18. Sushchev V.
97. Smirnov N.	59. Razdyakonov V.
Line 4
62. Naumov G.	95. Dumchenko N.
86. Minnekhanov T.	90. Nekrasov N.
69. Redkov A.	79. Tarasov M.
83. Mukhin K.	29. Khremkin K.
	32. Borisov S.
Substitutes
20. Smirnov A. (G)	35. Tulinov N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
11:37, 0 - 1, Tarasov M. (G), Nekrasov N. (A),
11:48, 0 - 2, Nekrasov N. (Penalty Shot),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
06:01, 0 - 3, Khremkin K. (G),
13:16, 1 - 3, Marin M. (G), Smirnov N. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
06:27, 2 - 3, Manukyan A. (G), Kolmagorov K. (A),
15:42, 2 - 4, Lukhovskoy N. (G), Makhrin M. (A), Trofimov Y. (A2)
16:23, 3 - 4, Smirnov N. (G), Minnekhanov T. (A),

Preview

Chelny has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gornyak-UGMK is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gornyak-UGMK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Chelny has had a series of away games.

In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelny won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 2.2:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelny won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 3.5:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Chelny - the odds 3.54 are the expected chance of winning is 25.96%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Gornyak-UGMK - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 51.49%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelny
VHL
15.02.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Chelny	2:5 ✺
13.02.26	Molot Perm - Chelny	2:1 penalties ✺
11.02.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Chelny	3:2 ✺
09.02.26	Izhstal - Chelny	1:2 OT ✺
05.02.26	Chelny - Kristall Saratov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WLLWL
- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
17.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	CSK VVS Samara - Gornyak-UGMK	5:0 ✺
13.02.26	Bars Kazan - Gornyak-UGMK	4:1 ✺
07.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:2 ✺
05.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - SKA-VMF	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
03.10.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Chelny	5:0
11.12.24	Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK	2:5
01.12.24	Gornyak-UGMK - Chelny	2:3 penalties
18.02.24	Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK	5:1
10.09.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Chelny	3:1

Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide