Match Info

VHL

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: Molot Sports Hall (Perm)


	Molot Perm		Chelny

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.08	3.89
	1.66	4.35	4.26	Watch
	1.52	4.4	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.62)	4.28 ↓ (4.45)	4.18 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molot Perm
56.6%

Draw
21.4%

Chelny
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

20.7%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

21.1%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molot Perm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Chelny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Molot Perm - Chelny Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Gorshkov Y. (G)	60. Sartakov V. (G)
12. Glukhov N. (C)	5. Davydov D.
55. Kozhevnikov A.	72. Kolmagorov K. (A)
15. Zenchikov I.	59. Anufriev I.
10. Plastinin V. (A)	68. Silayev I. (C)
81. Galimzyanov R.	29. Manukyan A.
Line 2
39. Zimin N.	44. Vinogradov A.
83. Basistyj K.	50. Motygullin B. (A)
88. Tesanov D.	10. Ustimkin M.
61. Polyakov V.	94. Sherstobitov D.
51. Kitsyn M. (A)	22. Minnekhanov B.
Line 3
44. Yerokhin A.	19. Zakharov N.
42. Labutkin Y.	12. Marin M.
11. Lapin D.	97. Smirnov N.
71. Kolesnikov Y.	26. Tarasov A.
22. Sinyavsky P.	18. Guskov I.
Line 4
59. Sokolov N.	62. Naumov G.
95. Shlykov V.	86. Minnekhanov T.
13. Yabelov D.	69. Redkov A.
92. Kazakov M.	25. Rakhcheev I.
Substitutes
90. Guskov Y. (G)	80. Gorokhov N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
16:12, 0 - 1, Rakhcheev I. (G), Marin M. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
06:08, 1 - 1, Galimzyanov R. (G), Zenchikov I. (A), Gorshkov Y. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Manukyan A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Zenchikov I. (Penalty Shot),
2, Minnekhanov B. (Penalty Shot),
2, Polyakov V. (Penalty Shot),
3, Guskov I. (Penalty Shot),
3, Kitsyn M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Ustimkin M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Galimzyanov R. (Penalty Shot),
5, Sherstobitov D. (Penalty Shot),
5, Lapin D. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Molot is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chelny has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Molot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Molot is considered a favorite.

We predict that Molot will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molot won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:10. (average 5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Molot won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 7:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Perm	11	6	2	0	3	29:20	16

Last Results with these Odds

Chelny - the odds 4.11 are the expected chance of winning is 22.4%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Molot Perm
VHL
11.02.26	Molot Perm - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:8 ✺
09.02.26	Molot Perm - CSK VVS Samara	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Molot Perm - Bars Kazan	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Molot Perm	2:3 OT ✺
30.01.26	SKA-VMF - Molot Perm	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWWWW
- HC Chelny
VHL
11.02.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Chelny	3:2 ✺
09.02.26	Izhstal - Chelny	1:2 OT ✺
05.02.26	Chelny - Kristall Saratov	1:2 ✺
03.02.26	Chelny - Dizel Penza	2:4 ✺
01.02.26	Chelny - Ryazan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
10.10.25	Chelny - Molot Perm	2:3
21.01.25	Chelny - Molot Perm	2:1 OT
03.11.24	Molot Perm - Chelny	3:4
08.01.24	Chelny - Molot Perm	1:7
16.10.23	Molot Perm - Chelny	11:1

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