Match Info

VHL

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets Sporta (Naberezhnye Chelny)


	Chelny		Tambov

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.72	2.34
	2.74	4.05	2.2	Watch
	2.65	3.75	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.92)	3.84 ↓ (4.03)	2.31 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelny
35.2%

Draw
24.3%

Tambov
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

23.2%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

22.5%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Tambov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tambov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chelny - Tambov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Noskov A. (G)	98. Smirnov A. (G)
72. Kolmagorov K. (C)	72. Vasin I. (A)
5. Davydov D.	24. Mamkin M.
25. Rakhcheev I.	86. Kopyltsov S.
26. Tarasov A. (A)	7. Kamenev V.
94. Sherstobitov D.	51. Dubrovsky Y. (C)
Line 2
19. Zakharov N.	54. Shchuchinov A.
44. Vinogradov A.	26. Yershov I.
22. Minnekhanov B.	49. Smirnov Y.
18. Guskov I.	96. Pyanov E.
23. Zaripov A.	30. Sadovin O.
Line 3
62. Naumov G.	95. Pesterev V.
77. Puzanov A.	62. Lugovyak S.
59. Anufriev I.	74. Zhabreyev A.
68. Silayev I.	87. Gorbunov Y.
29. Manukyan A.	27. Andriyanov A.
Line 4
33. Dergousov D.	71. Koltygin P.
86. Minnekhanov T.	45. Yanevsky S.
70. Maltsev M.	97. Grymzin S. (A)
11. Luchenkov S.	10. Tochilkin A.
	37. Baranov Y.
Substitutes
60. Sartakov V. (G)	22. Korolev T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:49, 0 - 1, Smirnov Y. (G),
07:27, 1 - 1, Puzanov A. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
11:28, 1 - 2, Sadovin O. (G), Smirnov Y. (A),
18:26, 1 - 3, Dubrovsky Y. (G), Kopyltsov S. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelny won 1.

In recent matches, Chelny has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tambov's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chelny may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Chelny has had a series of away games.

Recently, Tambov has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Chelny won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 33:62. (average 2.2:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelny won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 2.6:4).

Last Results with these Odds

Tambov - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.66%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelny
VHL
26.11.25	Dynamo-Altay - Chelny	2:3 ✺
24.11.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Chelny	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Chelny	4:3 ✺
19.11.25	Norilsk - Chelny	3:6 ✺
13.11.25	Chelny - SKA-VMF	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLLWL
- HC Tambov
VHL
28.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Tambov	4:0 ✺
22.11.25	Tambov - AKM	2:3 penalties ✺
20.11.25	Tambov - Ryazan	2:5 ✺
18.11.25	Tambov - Dizel Penza	2:4 ✺
16.11.25	Tambov - Kristall Saratov	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
09.02.25	Chelny - Tambov	2:6
13.10.24	Tambov - Chelny	8:1
25.01.24	Chelny - Tambov	1:5
22.09.23	Tambov - Chelny	3:5
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.20	Tambov - Chelny	4:1
VHL-B
28.01.18	Chelny - Tambov	3:4
27.01.18	Chelny - Tambov	3:1

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