Match Info

VHL

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Kristall (Tambov)


	Tambov		AKM

	1	X	2
	2.33	3.85	2.63	Watch
	2.24	3.59	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.4)	3.72 ↑ (3.6)	2.62 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tambov
40.2%

Draw
24.7%

AKM
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

25.7%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

25.4%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tambov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

AKM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Tambov - AKM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
22. Korolev T. (G)	60. Kanarsky I. (G)
45. Yanevsky S.	25. Puchkov Y. (A)
62. Lugovyak S.	71. Zaitsev D.
17. Samsonov D.	28. Tsybin M. (A)
51. Dubrovsky Y.	77. Sharifyanov T.
92. Korinevsky M.	36. Shumilin Y.
Line 2
24. Mamkin M.	23. Yuzbashyan R.
72. Vasin I.	85. Fazylzyanov K. (C)
9. Peshekhonov V.	12. Rybakov V.
27. Andriyanov A.	70. Dyukarev V.
74. Zhabreyev A.	29. Kaburov G.
Line 3
6. Gromov N.	80. Strugov Y.
28. Bulychyov G.	38. Bulygin D.
10. Tochilkin A.	15. Yermakov Y.
37. Baranov Y.	13. Bryntsev M.
71. Koltygin P.	47. Bulatov D.
Line 4
26. Yershov I.	3. Zhurakov D.
29. Protasov I.	32. Manin Y.
30. Sadovin O.	88. Shiafotdinov K.
49. Smirnov Y.	86. Ignatov S.
87. Gorbunov Y.
Substitutes
89. Valiullin S. (G)	91. Pastukh V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
01:38, 1 - 0, Sadovin O. (G), Gorbunov Y. (A), Yershov I. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
05:00, 1 - 1, Kaburov G. (G), Dyukarev V. (A), Yuzbashyan R. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
11:59, 1 - 2, Fazylzyanov K. (G), Dyukarev V. (A),
18:44, 2 - 2, Mamkin M. (G),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, Rybakov V. (Penalty Shot),
1, Tochilkin A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Fazylzyanov K. (Penalty Shot),
2, Dubrovsky Y. (Penalty Shot),
3, Yermakov Y. (Penalty Shot),
3, Peshekhonov V. (Penalty Shot),
4, Tsybin M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Gorbunov Y. (Penalty Shot),
5, Shumilin Y. (Penalty Shot),
5, Sadovin O. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tambov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, AKM has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 2.3:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tambov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 2.6:3.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Tambov - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.61%, but this team recently wins 7% of matches with these odds.

AKM - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.64%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Tambov
VHL
20.11.25	Tambov - Ryazan	2:5 ✺
18.11.25	Tambov - Dizel Penza	2:4 ✺
16.11.25	Tambov - Kristall Saratov	7:1 ✺
10.11.25	Izhstal - Tambov	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Tambov	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LLWWW
- AKM Tula
VHL
17.11.25	AKM - Dynamo-Altay	3:0 ✺
15.11.25	AKM - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 ✺
13.11.25	AKM - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	3:1 ✺
11.11.25	AKM - Norilsk	2:1 ✺
05.11.25	SKA-VMF - AKM	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
04.03.25	AKM - Tambov	4:0
18.09.24	Tambov - AKM	1:2
15.01.24	Tambov - AKM	2:3
04.10.23	AKM - Tambov	4:1
19.12.22	Tambov - AKM	5:6 penalties
25.10.22	AKM - Tambov	4:3 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
07.08.22	Tambov - AKM	4:1

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