Match Info

VHL

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Kristall (Tambov)


	Tambov		Kristall Saratov

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.78	3.49
	1.83	4.05	3.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.86)	3.92 ↓ (4)	3.57 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tambov
50.4%

Draw
23.7%

Kristall Saratov
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

23.2%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

22.6%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tambov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Kristall Saratov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristall Saratov than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Tambov - Kristall Saratov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tambov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
22. Korolev T. (G)	1. Grischenko A. (G)
45. Yanevsky S.	92. Vyalov F.
28. Bulychyov G.	74. Perelyavev S.
37. Baranov Y.	69. Filin F.
17. Samsonov D.	71. Polshakov Z.
10. Tochilkin A.	89. Larichev I.
Line 2
62. Lugovyak S.	32. Semeneko M. (C)
26. Yershov I.	19. Gusev A.
86. Kopyltsov S.	9. Balabolkin I.
96. Pyanov E.	7. Samoilov Y.
49. Smirnov Y.	23. Kormilov D.
Line 3
72. Vasin I. (C)	5. Velmatov A.
24. Mamkin M. (A)	24. Koryagin V.
74. Zhabreyev A.	13. Novruzov R.
87. Gorbunov Y.	29. Krasnov I.
27. Andriyanov A.	78. Chufarov A.
Line 4
54. Shuchinov	8. Egorov E.
92. Korinevsky M. (A)	90. Basin D.
71. Koltygin P.	25. Shcherbatov A.
84. Nizovkin M.	51. Asylayev N.
Substitutes
98. Smirnov A. (G)	30. Yeryomenko M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
09:08, 1 - 0, Smirnov Y. (G), Zhabreyev A. (A),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
01:06, 1 - 1, Samoilov Y. (G), Semeneko M. (A), Gusev A. (A2)
03:09, 2 - 1, Lugovyak S. (G), Tochilkin A. (A),
04:27, 3 - 1, Gorbunov Y. (G), Andriyanov A. (A), Yanevsky S. (A2)
12:30, 4 - 1, Pyanov E. (G),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
01:19, 5 - 1, Korinevsky M. (G),
10:13, 6 - 1, Andriyanov A. (G),
13:27, 7 - 1, Lugovyak S. (G), Koltygin P. (A), Yanevsky S. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tambov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tambov has had a series of away games.

Recently, Kristall Saratov has had a series of home games.

Tambov could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Tambov will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 61:27. (average 3.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tambov won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 48:18. (average 4:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Kristall Saratov - the odds 3.47 are the expected chance of winning is 26.77%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Tambov
VHL
10.11.25	Izhstal - Tambov	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Tambov	2:3 penalties ✺
06.11.25	Molot Perm - Tambov	3:2 penalties ✺
04.11.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Tambov	2:3 penalties ✺
29.10.25	Tambov - Gornyak-UGMK	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWLWL
- Kristall Saratov
VHL
11.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Dynamo-Altay	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 ✺
07.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	4:1 ✺
05.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Norilsk	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	SKA-VMF - Kristall Saratov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
10.08.25	Tambov - Kristall Saratov	1:1
VHL
09.01.25	Tambov - Kristall Saratov	4:5 OT
09.11.24	Kristall Saratov - Tambov	2:3 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
08.08.24	Kristall Saratov - Tambov	4:0
VHL
26.12.23	Tambov - Kristall Saratov	8:0
20.11.23	Kristall Saratov - Tambov	2:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
19.08.23	Tambov - Kristall Saratov	1:2

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