Match Info

VHL

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets Sporta (Naberezhnye Chelny)


	Chelny		Zauralie Kurgan

	1	X	2
	3.03	3.8	2.11
	2.99	3.94	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 (3.01)	3.87 ↑ (3.7)	2.1 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelny
31.1%

Draw
24.2%

Zauralie Kurgan
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

25.3%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

26%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Chelny have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Zauralie Kurgan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Chelny - Zauralie Kurgan Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
80. Gorokhov N. (G)	20. Vinogradov Z. (G)
5. Davydov D.	3. Shikun A.
72. Kolmagorov K. (A)	43. Ugolnikov A. (C)
86. Minnekhanov T.	10. Sokolov A.
26. Tarasov A.	34. Tagirov K.
9. Nasyrov M.	47. Grymzin S.
Line 2
44. Vinogradov A.	67. Vasilyev K.
62. Naumov G.	16. Avvakumov I.
10. Ustimkin M.	8. Galiaskarov E.
68. Silayev I. (C)	78. Komaristy A. (A)
29. Manukyan A.	74. Govorkov M.
Line 3
19. Zakharov N.	48. Denisevich B.
73. Goloshchapov K.	61. Kozhemyakin G.
97. Smirnov N.	99. Kolesnikov S.
94. Sherstobitov D.	93. Kozlov I. (A)
22. Minnekhanov B. (A)	7. Baldayev D.
Line 4
63. Biktashev S.	37. Afridanov I.
25. Rakhcheev I.	97. Bogdanov A.
18. Guskov I.	12. Kovyazin I.
96. Lomako O.	87. Nizovtsev S.
Substitutes
20. Smirnov A. (G)	21. Nikishin M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
05:46, 1 - 0, Naumov G. (G), Vinogradov A. (A), Smirnov N. (A2)
06:50, 2 - 0, Minnekhanov T. (G), Tarasov A. (A), Davydov D. (A2)
16:03, 2 - 1, Nizovtsev S. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 3)
00:35, 3 - 1, Ustimkin M. (G), Silayev I. (A), Manukyan A. (A2)
04:11, 3 - 2, Grymzin S. (G), Bogdanov A. (A),
10:28, 3 - 3, Sokolov A. (G), Kozhemyakin G. (A), Galiaskarov E. (A2)
10:54, 4 - 3, Lomako O. (G), Kolmagorov K. (A), Manukyan A. (A2)
11:47, 4 - 4, Kolesnikov S. (G), Baldayev D. (A), Shikun A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
04:02, 5 - 4, Smirnov N. (G), Minnekhanov B. (A), Sherstobitov D. (A2)
19:30, 5 - 5, Ugolnikov A. (G), Shikun A. (A), Galiaskarov E. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01', 5 - 6, (G),

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Zauralie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zauralie will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelny won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 2:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelny won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 2.5:3.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
28	Kurgan	10	0	2	4	4	15:27	8

Last Results with these Odds

Zauralie Kurgan - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.57%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelny
VHL
14.03.26	Chelny - Rubin Tyumen	1:4 ✺
12.03.26	Chelny - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:6 ✺
07.03.26	Zvezda Moscow - Chelny	2:3 OT ✺
05.03.26	Khimik - Chelny	4:2 ✺
03.03.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Chelny	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWLL
- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
14.03.26	Bars Kazan - Zauralie Kurgan	3:2 OT ✺
12.03.26	CSK VVS Samara - Zauralie Kurgan	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Omskie Krylia - Zauralie Kurgan	6:0 ✺
01.03.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:3 ✺
27.02.26	Zauralie Kurgan - SKA-VMF	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
08.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Chelny	5:2
21.02.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Chelny	5:2
01.10.24	Chelny - Zauralie Kurgan	3:4
16.02.24	Chelny - Zauralie Kurgan	2:3
12.09.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Chelny	0:1

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