The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chicago Blackhawks 34.7%
Draw 22.7%
Washington Capitals 42.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
21.2%
45.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
20.3%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Blackhawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Blackhawks than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
33.3%
23.8%
Chicago Blackhawks - Washington Capitals Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Washington will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 23.2% – 66.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Knight S. (G)
48. Thompson L. (G)
46. Crevier L.
74. Carlson J. (A)
72. Vlasic A.
42. Fehervary M.
28. Burakovsky A.
72. Beauvillier A.
98. Bedard C.
17. Strome D.
20. Greene R.
8. Ovechkin A. (C)
Line 2
55. Levshunov A.
3. Roy M.
44. Kaiser W.
6. Chychrun J. (A)
86. Teravainen T.
9. Leonard R.
11. Moore O.
34. Sourdif J.
59. Bertuzzi T.
24. McMichael C.
Line 3
5. Murphy C. (A)
47. Chisholm D.
24. Grzelcyk M.
38. Sandin R.
95. Mikheyev I.
53. Frank E.
16. Dickinson J. (A)
26. Dowd N.
8. Donato R.
22. Duhaime B.
Line 4
76. Lardis N.
20. Leason B.
17. Foligno N. (C)
29. Lapierre H.
34. Dach C.
15. Milano S.
Substitutes
40. Soderblom A. (G)
79. Lindgren C. (G)
Coaches
. Blashill J.
. Carbery S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 3)
04:03, 0 - 1, Beauvillier A. (G), Fehervary M. (A), Carlson J. (A2)
08:33, Sourdif J. (2 min),
09:18, Fehervary M. (2 min),
15:07, 0 - 2, McMichael C. (G), Leonard R. (A),
18:54, 0 - 3, Frank E. (G), Carlson J. (A), Dowd N. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:14, Greene R. (2 min),
06:51, Duhaime B. (2 min),
08:48, 1 - 3, Moore O. (G), Grzelcyk M. (A), Lardis N. (A2)
12:38, 1 - 4, Sourdif J. (G), McMichael C. (A), Leonard R. (A2)
12:54, Lardis N. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
04:20, Dowd N. (2 min),
13:33, 1 - 5, Ovechkin A. (G), Fehervary M. (A),
18:35, Slaggert L. (2 min),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 2.
Chicago is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Washington has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
Washington might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Chicago: Bedard C.
(Shoulder Injury)
Nazar F.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Weber S.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Washington: Dubois P.
(Abdominal strain)
There are questionable in Washington: Protas A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Wilson T.
(Lower-Body Injury)
We predict that Chicago will win today's game, with odds of 3.01.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 56:83. (average 2.8:4.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:39. (average 3.6:3.9).
Outrights of NHL for now
Washington Capitals: 5.74% Chicago Blackhawks: 0.33%
Last Results with these Odds
Washington Capitals - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 45.72%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.