Match Info

AHL

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse (Cleveland, OH)


	Cleveland Monsters		Providence Bruins

	1	X	2
	2.88	4	1.95	Watch
	2.95	4.05	2.02
	2.92	4	2
	2.97	4.13	2.01	Watch
	2.99	4.15	2.03	Watch
	2.9	4.2	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.4)	4.09 ↓ (4.1)	2 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cleveland Monsters
31.4%

Draw
22.5%

Providence Bruins
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

22.5%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

22.7%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cleveland Monsters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cleveland Monsters's form might have worsened.

Providence Bruins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Providence Bruins's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cleveland Monsters than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cleveland Monsters, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Providence Bruins than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Providence Bruins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cleveland Monsters - Providence Bruins Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Sawchenko Z. (G)	34. Zajicek S. (G)
37. Ahcan R.	47. Abate J.
39. Butcher W.	17. Bancroft D.
4. Ceulemans C.	18. Blumel M.
88. Dumais J.	38. Brown P. (C)
20. Fasching H. (A)	42. Brunet F.
16. Gaunce B. (C)	23. Callahan M. (A)
8. Holm O.	11. Duran R.
43. MacDonald C.	93. Edward J.
11. Malatesta J.	26. Farinacci J.
93. McCue M.	9. Felix C.
41. McKown H.	24. Gallagher T.
24. Pearson J.	72. Harrison B.
53. Pinelli L.	43. Locmelis D.
82. Pyyhtia M.	10. Merkulov G.
26. Richard G.	21. Poitras M.
12. Sillinger O. (A)	8. Schmaltz J.
7. Smith B.	6. Sweezey B.
29. Williams J.	27. Tufte R. (A)
Substitutes
28. Fedotov I. (G)	30. DiPietro M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
07:48, 1 - 0, Butcher W. (G), Pinelli L. (A), Pearson J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
03:48, 1 - 1, Schmaltz J. (G), Farinacci J. (A),
11:11, 2 - 1, Gaunce B. (G), Butcher W. (A), Pyyhtia M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
08:55, 2 - 2, Farinacci J. (G), Duran R. (A), Schmaltz J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:49, 2 - 3, Poitras M. (G), Merkulov G. (A), Blumel M. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 3.

Cleveland is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Providence is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cleveland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Providence might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Providence will win today's game, with odds of 2.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:33. (average 3.1:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cleveland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 2.8:3.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Cleveland Monsters - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.36%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Providence Bruins - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.18%, but this team recently wins 49% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cleveland Monsters
AHL
07.11.25	Cleveland Monsters - Providence Bruins	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Milwaukee Admirals - Cleveland Monsters	3:2 OT ✺
31.10.25	Milwaukee Admirals - Cleveland Monsters	3:4 OT ✺
25.10.25	Cleveland Monsters - Rochester Americans	3:4 OT ✺
18.10.25	Cleveland Monsters - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL
- Providence Bruins
AHL
07.11.25	Cleveland Monsters - Providence Bruins	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Providence Bruins - Charlotte Checkers	5:2 ✺
01.11.25	Providence Bruins - Hershey Bears	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Providence Bruins	1:3 ✺
26.10.25	Providence Bruins - Bridgeport Islanders	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
07.11.25	Cleveland Monsters - Providence Bruins	1:2
01.02.25	Cleveland Monsters - Providence Bruins	3:2
31.01.25	Cleveland Monsters - Providence Bruins	2:4
17.11.24	Providence Bruins - Cleveland Monsters	3:4 OT
15.11.24	Providence Bruins - Cleveland Monsters	3:4 OT
25.02.24	Providence Bruins - Cleveland Monsters	4:3 penalties
23.02.24	Providence Bruins - Cleveland Monsters	4:3 OT

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