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Current Win Probability
Bakersfield Condors 38.9%
Draw 21.6%
San Jose Barracuda 39.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.3%
20.8%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.1%
22.7%
44.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bakersfield Condors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
San Jose Barracuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Barracuda than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Jose Barracuda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bakersfield Condors - San Jose Barracuda Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
90. Tomkins M. (G)
93. Brossoit L. (G)
44. Brown J. (A)
11. Afanasyev Y.
73. Carfagna D.
94. Boltmann J.
19. D'Amato D.
15. Bowers S.
55. Dineen C.
18. Bystedt F.
39. Griffith S. (C)
17. Crespo J.
52. Hamblin J.
90. Crnkovic K.
53. Howard I.
54. Giles P. (A)
23. Hutson Q.
86. Hache B.
15. Jarventie R.
14. Halttunen K.
63. Keppen E.
95. Hoffmann B.
54. Lafreniere T.
40. Huntington J. (A)
37. Leppanen A.
47. Messineo T.
57. Marjala V.
13. Musty Q.
56. Nicholl W.
61. Sarsland T.
68. Pitlick R.
67. Vanroboys L.
8. Poulin S.
83. Villeneuve-Houle D.
75. Regula A.
76. Vincent A.
61. Stillman R. (A)
22. Woo J. (A)
Substitutes
40. Ungar C. (G)
35. Carriere G. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
01:46, 1 - 0, Poulin S. (G), D'Amato D. (A), Lafreniere T. (A2)
15:48, 2 - 0, Howard I. (G), Marjala V. (A), Hutson Q. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
09:29, 3 - 0, Poulin S. (G), Dineen C. (A), Hutson Q. (A2)
09:29, 3 - 1, Hoffmann B. (G), Giles P. (A), Crespo J. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
09:30, 3 - 2, Bystedt F. (G), Boltmann J. (A), Musty Q. (A2)
11:39, 4 - 2, Jarventie R. (G), Dineen C. (A), Regula A. (A2)
19:15, 5 - 2, Jarventie R. (G), D'Amato D. (A),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
Bakersfield is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
San Jose is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bakersfield won 3.
Recent performances by Bakersfield have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
San Jose's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bakersfield won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 65:73. (average 3.3:3.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Bakersfield won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:34. (average 3.4:3.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Bakersfield Condors - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.33%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
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Tomkins M. (G) 
Afanasyev Y. 
Carfagna D. 
Bystedt F. 
Jarventie R. 
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