The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colorado Avalanche 58%
Draw 20%
Montreal Canadiens 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.9%
19.7%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.6%
18.8%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colorado Avalanche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Montreal Canadiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
33.3%
11.1%
Colorado Avalanche - Montreal Canadiens Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Colorado will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Montreal will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Colorado: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Colorado (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Montreal (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
39. Blackwood M. (G)
75. Dobes J. (G)
8. Makar C. (A)
53. Dobson N.
7. Toews D.
8. Matheson M. (A)
88. Necas M.
76. Bolduc Z.
29. MacKinnon N. (A)
14. Suzuki N. (C)
62. Lehkonen A.
13. Caufield C.
Line 2
84. Burns B.
48. Hutson L.
42. Manson J.
47. Struble J.
92. Landeskog G. (C)
93. Demidov I.
11. Nelson B.
91. Kapanen O.
20. Colton R.
20. Slafkovsky J.
Line 3
70. Malinski S.
45. Carrier A.
49. Girard S.
72. Xhekaj A.
95. Olofsson V.
17. Anderson J.
18. Drury J.
71. Evans J.
17. Kelly P.
85. Texier A.
Line 4
94. Kiviranta J.
63. Xhekaj F.
93. Bardakov Z.
90. Veleno J.
82. Ivan I.
11. Gallagher B. (A)
Substitutes
41. Wedgewood S. (G)
35. Montembeault S. (G)
Coaches
. Bednar J.
. St. Louis M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
03:50, Nelson B. (2 min),
07:32, 1 - 0, Nelson B. (G), Lehkonen A. (A), Kiviranta J. (A2)
13:25, 2 - 0, Landeskog G. (G), Nelson B. (A), Colton R. (A2)
13:25, (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
00:50, 3 - 0, Burns B. (G), Nelson B. (A),
03:55, 4 - 0, Nelson B. (G), Necas M. (A), Lehkonen A. (A2)
08:27, 4 - 1, Demidov I. (G), Slafkovsky J. (A), Kapanen O. (A2)
18:04, Necas M. (2 min),
18:04, Kapanen O. (2 min),
19:05, 5 - 1, MacKinnon N. (G), Landeskog G. (A), Makar C. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
02:51, 6 - 1, Toews D. (G), Necas M. (A), MacKinnon N. (A2)
04:18, Toews D. (2 min),
05:10, 6 - 2, Hutson L. (G), Caufield C. (A), Suzuki N. (A2)
05:45, Evans J. (2 min),
06:52, 7 - 2, Landeskog G. (G), MacKinnon N. (A), Necas M. (A2)
09:22, Anderson J. (2 min),
15:07, Anderson J. (2 min),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 2.
Colorado is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Montreal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Montreal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Colorado is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Colorado: Brindley G.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Nichushkin V.
(Lower-Body Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Hip Injury)
There will not play in Montreal: Dach K.
(Broken Leg)
Guhle K.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Laine P.
(Abdominal strain)
Newhook A.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 57:53. (average 2.9:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Colorado won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 2.3:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Colorado Avalanche - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 53.95%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Montreal Canadiens - the odds 3.69 are the expected chance of winning is 26.32%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.