The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montreal Canadiens 47.2%
Draw 22.4%
Washington Capitals 30.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
22.6%
33.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
22.9%
33.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montreal Canadiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
30%
30%
Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Washington will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Montreal: 9.6% – 70.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5, 3rd Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS, OT - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Montreal Canadiens will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
75. Dobes J. (G)
79. Lindgren C. (G)
53. Dobson N.
38. Sandin R.
48. Hutson L.
42. Fehervary M.
77. Dach K.
72. Beauvillier A.
14. Suzuki N. (C)
17. Strome D.
13. Caufield C.
8. Ovechkin A. (C)
Line 2
21. Guhle K.
3. Roy M.
8. Matheson M. (A)
6. Chychrun J.
93. Demidov I.
44. Trineyev B.
91. Kapanen O.
80. Dubois P.
20. Slafkovsky J.
21. Protas A.
Line 3
45. Carrier A.
57. Van Riemsdyk T.
47. Struble J.
47. Chisholm D.
11. Gallagher B. (A)
9. Leonard R.
24. Danault P.
34. Sourdif J.
17. Anderson J.
24. McMichael C.
Line 4
15. Newhook A.
53. Frank E.
71. Evans J.
26. Dowd N. (A)
76. Bolduc Z.
22. Duhaime B.
Substitutes
35. Montembeault S. (G)
48. Thompson L. (G)
Coaches
. St. Louis M.
. Carbery S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
00:30, 1 - 0, Caufield C. (G),
06:06, Duhaime B. (2 min),
08:24, Matheson M. (2 min),
13:16, 1 - 1, Ovechkin A. (G), Beauvillier A. (A), Chisholm D. (A2)
14:19, 2 - 1, Caufield C. (G), Suzuki N. (A), Struble J. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
10:09, Leonard R. (2 min),
12:22, 3 - 1, Matheson M. (G), Bolduc Z. (A), Newhook A. (A2)
16:34, 4 - 1, Dach K. (G), Suzuki N. (A),
17:17, Gallagher B. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
06:00, Dowd N. (2 min),
06:00, Dach K. (2 min),
07:51, Dobson N. (2 min),
12:12, 4 - 2, Ovechkin A. (G), Strome D. (A), Beauvillier A. (A2)
13:33, McMichael C. (2 min),
16:44, 5 - 2, Suzuki N. (G),
17:37, Carrier A. (2 min),
18:34, 6 - 2, Evans J. (G),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 1.
Recent performances by Montreal have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Washington is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Washington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Washington has had a series of home games.
Montreal might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Montreal: Laine P.
(Abdominal strain)
There will not play in Washington: Carlson J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 59:85. (average 3:4.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:41. (average 3.6:4.6).
Outrights of NHL for now
Washington Capitals: 5.74% Montreal Canadiens: 3.83%
Last Results with these Odds
Montreal Canadiens - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 43.56%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Washington Capitals - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.88%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Dobes J. (G) 
Lindgren C. (G) 
Dobson N. 
Sandin R. 
Fehervary M. 
Ovechkin A. (C) 
Kapanen O. 
Protas A. 
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