Match Info

NHL

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay, V Sport Live 3
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Live 3
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Live 3
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Vegas Golden Knights		Montreal Canadiens

	1	X	2
	1.77	4.25	3.8	Watch
	1.84	4.48	3.5
	1.82	4.4	3.73
	1.95	4.38	3.16	Watch
	1.83	4.43	3.62
	1.76	4.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.95)	4.39 ↑ (4.38)	3.59 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vegas Golden Knights
51.9%

Draw
21.6%

Montreal Canadiens
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

21.6%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

20.5%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vegas Golden Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Montreal Canadiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Vegas Golden Knights - Montreal Canadiens Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vegas will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vegas: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Vegas (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Montreal (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 7 - 77.8%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Schmid A. (G)	35. Montembeault S. (G)
27. Theodore S.	53. Dobson N.
3. McNabb B. (A)	8. Matheson M. (A)
42. Bowman B.	76. Bolduc Z.
9. Eichel J. (A)	14. Suzuki N. (C)
49. Barbashev I.	13. Caufield C.
Line 2
2. Whitecloud Z.	48. Hutson L.
15. Hanifin N.	47. Struble J.
61. Stone M. (C)	93. Demidov I.
21. Howden B.	91. Kapanen O.
93. Marner M.	20. Slafkovsky J.
Line 3
6. Korczak K.	45. Carrier A.
17. Hutton B.	42. Engstrom A.
16. Dorofeyev P.	17. Anderson J.
48. Hertl T.	71. Evans J.
20. Saad B.	63. Xhekaj F.
Line 4
55. Kolesar K.	11. Gallagher B. (A)
10. Sissons C.	90. Veleno J.
19. Smith R.	49. Davidson J.
Substitutes
30. Lindbom C. (G)	75. Dobes J. (G)
Coaches
. Cassidy B.	. St. Louis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
08:45, Matheson M. (2 min),
14:30, 0 - 1, Bolduc Z. (G), Slafkovsky J. (A), Caufield C. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
02:04, 0 - 2, Caufield C. (G), Bolduc Z. (A), Carrier A. (A2)
12:41, Kolesar K. (2 min),
12:41, Xhekaj A. (2 min),
19:12, Hutton B. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
03:36, 0 - 3, Evans J. (G), Texier A. (A), Matheson M. (A2)
15:16, 1 - 3, Stone M. (G), Marner M. (A),
18:03, 1 - 4, Slafkovsky J. (G), Suzuki N. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Montreal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vegas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Vegas: Hill A. (Lower-Body Injury) Karlsson W. (Lower-Body Injury) Lauzon J. (Injury) Pietrangelo A. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Montreal: Dach K. (Broken Leg) Guhle K. (Lower-Body Injury) Laine P. (Abdominal strain) Newhook A. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 72:64. (average 3.6:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vegas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:31. (average 3.3:3.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Vegas Golden Knights - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 48.49%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Montreal Canadiens - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 29.92%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vegas Golden Knights
NHL
26.11.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Ottawa Senators	3:4 penalties ✺
24.11.25	Utah Mammoth - Vegas Golden Knights	5:1 ✺
22.11.25	Anaheim Ducks - Vegas Golden Knights	4:3 OT ✺
20.11.25	Utah Mammoth - Vegas Golden Knights	1:4 ✺
18.11.25	Vegas Golden Knights - New York Rangers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLWW
- Montreal Canadiens
NHL
26.11.25	Utah Mammoth - Montreal Canadiens	3:4 ✺
22.11.25	Montreal Canadiens - Toronto Maple Leafs	5:2 ✺
20.11.25	Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals	4:8 ✺
17.11.25	Columbus Blue Jackets - Montreal Canadiens	4:3 penalties ✺
15.11.25	Montreal Canadiens - Boston Bruins	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
31.12.24	Vegas Golden Knights - Montreal Canadiens	2:3
23.11.24	Montreal Canadiens - Vegas Golden Knights	2:6
16.11.23	Montreal Canadiens - Vegas Golden Knights	5:6
30.10.23	Vegas Golden Knights - Montreal Canadiens	3:2 penalties
05.03.23	Vegas Golden Knights - Montreal Canadiens	4:3
05.11.22	Montreal Canadiens - Vegas Golden Knights	4:6
20.01.22	Vegas Golden Knights - Montreal Canadiens	4:3 OT

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