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Current Win Probability
Colorado Avalanche 47.6%
Draw 22%
New Jersey Devils 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.3%
22.1%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
22.7%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colorado Avalanche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colorado Avalanche's performance.
New Jersey Devils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Jersey Devils might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Jersey Devils than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
37.5%
25%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Colorado will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). New Jersey will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Colorado: 4% – 71%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Colorado (votes: 1 - 50%). New Jersey (votes: 1 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Colorado (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Colorado (votes: 2 - 66.7%). New Jersey (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
41. Wedgewood S. (G)
25. Markstrom J. (G)
8. Makar C. (A)
7. Hamilton D.
7. Toews D.
43. Hughes L.
88. Necas M.
63. Bratt J.
29. MacKinnon N. (A)
86. Hughes J. (A)
62. Lehkonen A.
18. Palat O. (A)
Line 2
84. Burns B.
17. Nemec S.
42. Manson J.
71. Siegenthaler J.
20. Colton R.
91. Mercer D.
11. Nelson B.
13. Hischier N. (C)
13. Nichushkin V.
28. Meier T.
Line 3
70. Malinski S.
22. Casey S.
15. Ahcan J.
5. Dillon B.
54. Brindley G.
16. Brown C.
18. Drury J.
83. Lammikko J.
92. Landeskog G. (C)
81. Gritsyuk A.
Line 4
95. Olofsson V.
11. Noesen S.
93. Bardakov Z.
14. Glendening L.
17. Kelly P.
47. Cotter P.
Substitutes
39. Blackwood M. (G)
34. Allen J. (G)
Coaches
. Bednar J.
. Keefe S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
00:18, Markstrom J. (2 min),
01:24, 1 - 0, Necas M. (G), Makar C. (A), Nichushkin V. (A2)
03:49, 2 - 0, Bardakov Z. (G), Kelly P. (A), Brindley G. (A2)
10:33, Siegenthaler J. (2 min),
14:11, Necas M. (2 min),
2nd Period (4 - 4)
02:31, 3 - 0, Olofsson V. (G), Ahcan J. (A), Landeskog G. (A2)
06:02, Noesen S. (2 min),
06:13, Hamilton D. (2 min),
07:11, 4 - 0, MacKinnon N. (G), Makar C. (A), Olofsson V. (A2)
08:39, 5 - 0, Kelly P. (G), Colton R. (A), Burns B. (A2)
10:08, 5 - 1, Noesen S. (G), Cotter P. (A),
11:48, 5 - 2, Hamilton D. (G), Hughes J. (A), Hughes L. (A2)
13:42, 5 - 3, Mercer D. (G), Hischier N. (A), Meier T. (A2)
14:12, 5 - 4, Hughes J. (G), Bratt J. (A),
14:54, Meier T. (2 min),
15:24, 6 - 4, MacKinnon N. (G), Makar C. (A), Olofsson V. (A2)
19:01, Manson J. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
02:33, Glendening L. (2 min),
03:10, 7 - 4, Olofsson V. (G), MacKinnon N. (A), Makar C. (A2)
17:38, 8 - 4, Olofsson V. (G), Drury J. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 3.
Recent form of Colorado has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
New Jersey is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
New Jersey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, New Jersey has had a series of home games.
Colorado could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Colorado: Girard S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Kiviranta J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Hip Injury)
There will not play in New Jersey: Dadonov Y.
(Hand Injury)
Glass C.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Kovacevic J.
(Knee Injury)
MacEwen Z.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Colorado: Blackwood M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
We predict that New Jersey will win today's game, with odds of 2.99.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 62:46. (average 3.1:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Colorado won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:18. (average 3.4:1.8).
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Last Results with these Odds
New Jersey Devils - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.62%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.