Match Info

NHL

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Ball Arena (Denver, CO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 3
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Amazon Prime Video, NHL.tv


	Colorado Avalanche		Pittsburgh Penguins

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.75	4	Watch
	1.75	4.7	3.7
	1.74	4.61	3.9
	1.72	4.69	3.89	Watch
	1.65	4.2	3.8
	1.78	4.72	3.9
	1.57	4.33	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.69)	4.57 ↑ (4.55)	3.88 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colorado Avalanche
55.3%

Draw
20.5%

Pittsburgh Penguins
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

20.8%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

20.7%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colorado Avalanche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Pittsburgh Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	38.5%	7.7%

Colorado Avalanche - Pittsburgh Penguins Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Colorado will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colorado: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
41. Wedgewood S. (G)	37. Silovs A. (G)
8. Makar C. (A)	65. Karlsson E.
7. Toews D. (A)	28. Wotherspoon P.
88. Necas M.	17. Rust B. (A)
29. MacKinnon N. (A)	67. Rakell R.
91. Kadri N.	39. Mantha A.
Line 2
84. Burns B.	58. Letang K. (A)
42. Manson J.	5. Shea R.
13. Nichushkin V.	71. Malkin E.
11. Nelson B.	18. Novak T.
94. Kiviranta J.	59. Chinakhov Y.
Line 3
70. Malinski S.	75. Clifton C.
27. Kulak B.	7. Solovyov I.
10. Roy N.	16. Brazeau J.
18. Drury J.	81. Kindel B.
17. Kelly P.	41. Koivunen V.
Line 4
37. Blankenburg N.	55. Acciari N.
54. Brindley G.	19. Dewar C.
93. Bardakov Z.	25. Soderblom E.
Substitutes
39. Blackwood M. (G)	74. Skinner S. (G)
Coaches
. Bednar J.	. Muse D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 4)
00:48, Malkin E. (2 min),
03:01, 0 - 1, Malkin E. (G), Rust B. (A), Acciari N. (A2)
04:08, 1 - 1, MacKinnon N. (G), Necas M. (A), Makar C. (A2)
04:23, 1 - 2, Mantha A. (G), Karlsson E. (A),
05:33, Koivunen V. (2 min),
08:39, Drury J. (2 min),
13:00, 1 - 3, Malkin E. (G), Chinakhov Y. (A), Wotherspoon P. (A2)
13:00, Wedgewood S. ↓, Blackwood M. ↑,
13:43, 1 - 4, Soderblom E. (G), Dewar C. (A), Karlsson E. (A2)
14:21, 2 - 4, Burns B. (G), Brindley G. (A), Manson J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
03:30, Mantha A. (2 min),
10:36, 2 - 5, Karlsson E. (G), Shea R. (A),
11:11, Silovs A. (2 min),
13:30, Roy N. (2 min),
15:40, (2 min),
16:20, 2 - 6, Rust B. (G), Malkin E. (A), Rakell R. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
09:06, 2 - 7, Acciari N. (G), Soderblom E. (A), Dewar C. (A2)
10:59, Malkin E. (2 min),
10:59, Kelly P. (2 min),
10:59, Drury J. (5 min),
10:59, Clifton C. (5 min),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Colorado is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Colorado will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 60:60. (average 3:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Colorado won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:30. (average 3.3:3).

Outrights of NHL for now

Colorado Avalanche: 9.51% Pittsburgh Penguins: 1.19%

Last Results with these Odds

Colorado Avalanche - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.91%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colorado Avalanche
NHL
14.03.26	Winnipeg Jets - Colorado Avalanche	3:1 ✺
12.03.26	Seattle Kraken - Colorado Avalanche	1:5 ✺
10.03.26	Colorado Avalanche - Edmonton Oilers	3:4 ✺
08.03.26	Colorado Avalanche - Minnesota Wild	3:2 penalties ✺
06.03.26	Dallas Stars - Colorado Avalanche	4:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWW
- Pittsburgh Penguins
NHL
14.03.26	Utah Mammoth - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:4 ✺
12.03.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Pittsburgh Penguins	6:2 ✺
10.03.26	Carolina Hurricanes - Pittsburgh Penguins	5:4 penalties ✺
08.03.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Boston Bruins	5:4 OT ✺
07.03.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Philadelphia Flyers	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
04.03.25	Colorado Avalanche - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:1
10.12.24	Pittsburgh Penguins - Colorado Avalanche	2:6
24.03.24	Colorado Avalanche - Pittsburgh Penguins	5:4 OT
26.10.23	Pittsburgh Penguins - Colorado Avalanche	4:0
22.03.23	Colorado Avalanche - Pittsburgh Penguins	2:5
07.02.23	Pittsburgh Penguins - Colorado Avalanche	2:1 OT
05.04.22	Pittsburgh Penguins - Colorado Avalanche	4:6

Colorado Avalanche - Pittsburgh Penguins: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide