The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colorado Avalanche 46.7%
Draw 21.8%
Tampa Bay Lightning 31.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.7%
21.6%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55%
24.4%
26.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colorado Avalanche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colorado Avalanche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Lightning, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
21.4%
35.7%
Colorado Avalanche - Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Colorado will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Colorado: 17% – 68.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Colorado (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
41. Wedgewood S. (G)
88. Vasilevski A. (G)
8. Makar C. (A)
90. Moser J.J.
7. Toews D.
77. Hedman V. (C)
88. Necas M.
86. Kucherov N. (A)
29. MacKinnon N. (A)
21. Point B.
62. Lehkonen A.
38. Hagel B.
Line 2
84. Burns B.
81. Cernak E.
42. Manson J.
27. McDonagh R. (A)
13. Nichushkin V.
93. Goncalves G.
11. Nelson B.
17. James D.
20. Colton R.
22. Bjorkstrand O.
Line 3
70. Malinski S.
78. Lilleberg E.
28. Solovyov I.
51. D'Astous C.
95. Olofsson V.
29. Holmberg P.
18. Drury J.
37. Gourde Y.
92. Landeskog G. (C)
28. Girgensons Z.
Line 4
57. Nielsen T.
24. Crozier M.
93. Bardakov Z.
71. Cirelli A.
17. Kelly P.
59. Guentzel J.
Substitutes
39. Blackwood M. (G)
31. Johansson J. (G)
Coaches
. Bednar J.
. Cooper J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
01:37, 0 - 1, Kucherov N. (G),
05:43, D'Astous C. (5 min),
05:43, Landeskog G. (5 min),
10:47, Holmberg P. (2 min),
13:34, (2 min),
13:51, 1 - 1, Olofsson V. (G), MacKinnon N. (A), Necas M. (A2)
17:34, Olofsson V. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
04:08, 2 - 1, Olofsson V. (G), Drury J. (A), Landeskog G. (A2)
05:21, 3 - 1, Colton R. (G), Malinski S. (A), Nelson B. (A2)
07:21, Manson J. (2 min),
16:59, Hedman V. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
01:21, Nelson B. (2 min),
03:32, 3 - 2, Point B. (G), D'Astous C. (A), Hedman V. (A2)
14:26, Girgensons Z. (2 min),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 1.
Colorado has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tampa Bay is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Recently, Colorado has had a series of away games.
Colorado will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Colorado: Brindley G.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Girard S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Kiviranta J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Hip Injury)
There will not play in Tampa Bay: Crozier M.
(Injury)
Paul N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 58:74. (average 2.9:3.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Colorado won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:29. (average 3.3:2.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Colorado Avalanche - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 48.66%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 29.78%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
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Wedgewood S. (G) 
Vasilevski A. (G) 
Moser J.J. 
Hedman V. (C) 
Necas M. 
Lehkonen A. 
Cernak E. 
McDonagh R. (A) 
Bjorkstrand O. 
Lilleberg E. 
Solovyov I. 
Girgensons Z. 
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