The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colorado Avalanche 41.6%
Draw 22.5%
Tampa Bay Lightning 35.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.5%
22.1%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
22.8%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colorado Avalanche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
44.4%
0%
Colorado Avalanche - Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Colorado will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Colorado: 23.1% โ 88.1%.
01:08, 1 - 0, Toews D. (G), Necas M. (A), MacKinnon N. (A2)
05:09, Hagel B. (2 min),
05:52, 2 - 0, Kadri N. (G), Hughes T. (A), MacKinnon N. (A2)
11:27, Guentzel J. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
00:24, 3 - 0, Svechkov F. (G), Schwartz J. (A),
03:04, O'Connor L. (2 min),
08:00, Makar T. (2 min),
08:00, James D. (2 min),
08:00, Malinski S. (2 min),
08:13, 3 - 1, Guentzel J. (G), D'Astous C. (A), Point B. (A2)
10:49, Lehkonen A. (2 min),
13:57, 4 - 1, Lehkonen A. (G), MacKinnon N. (A), Toews D. (A2)
17:17, (2 min),
19:17, 4 - 2, Guentzel J. (G), Point B. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
19:17, (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
04:18, 5 - 2, MacKinnon N. (G), Lehkonen A. (A), Necas M. (A2)
04:59, D'Astous C. (2 min),
10:58, Toews D. (2 min),
15:13, 5 - 3, D'Astous C. (G), Goncalves G. (A), Crozier M. (A2)
17:19, 6 - 3, Necas M. (G), Landeskog G. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 1.
Colorado has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Tampa Bay shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Tampa Bay could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Colorado: L'Heureux Z.
(Upper-Body Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Roy N.
(Lower-Body Injury).
Confirmed absences for Tampa Bay: Gourde Y.
(Hip Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Tampa Bay: Cirelli A.
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Colorado has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 56:69 (averaging 2.8:3.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Colorado against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 31:25 goals (averaging 3.1:2.5 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Colorado Avalanche: 9.93% Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.91%
Last Results with these Odds
Colorado Avalanche - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 43.5%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.
Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.45%, but this team recently wins 61% of matches with these odds.
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Blackwood M. (G) 
Vasilevski A. (G) 
Carlson J. 
Moser J.J. 
Necas M. 
Lehkonen A. 
Cernak E. 
Landeskog G. (C) 
Girgensons Z. 
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