The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Washington Capitals 39.6%
Draw 22.7%
New Jersey Devils 37.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.2%
21.2%
36.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
21.6%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
New Jersey Devils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Jersey Devils than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Washington Capitals - New Jersey Devils Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 2 - 50%). New Jersey will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
48. Thompson L. (G)
34. Allen J. (G)
27. Liljegren T.
22. Pesce B.
6. Chychrun J.
43. Hughes L.
25. Kyrou J.
63. Bratt J. (A)
17. Strome D. (A)
86. Hughes J. (A)
89. Tuch A.
81. Gritsyuk A.
Line 2
73. Desharnais V.
7. Hamilton D.
42. Fehervary M.
71. Siegenthaler J.
43. Wilson T. (A)
91. Mercer D.
22. Jenner B.
13. Hischier N. (C)
21. Protas A.
28. Meier T.
Line 3
4. Holl J.
8. Kovacevic J.
44. Hutson C.
47. Chisholm D.
63. Miroshnichenko I.
11. Noesen S.
62. Protas I.
17. Rodrigues E.
8. Ovechkin A. (C)
39. Mantha A.
Line 4
9. Leonard R.
70. Boqvist J.
72. Beauvillier A.
12. Glass C.
53. Frank E.
93. Lombardi A.
Substitutes
79. Lindgren C. (G)
50. Daws N. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.
. Keefe S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
03:29, Tuch A. (2 min),
08:03, Jenner B. (2 min),
10:04, 0 - 1, Gritsyuk A. (G), Mercer D. (A), Noesen S. (A2)
15:10, Pesce B. (2 min),
16:42, 1 - 1, Leonard R. (G), Chychrun J. (A), Thompson L. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
01:16, 2 - 1, Protas I. (G), Ovechkin A. (A), Desharnais V. (A2)
04:36, 3 - 1, Strome D. (G), Tuch A. (A), Kyrou J. (A2)
09:03, Hughes L. (2 min),
11:14, 4 - 1, Jenner B. (G), Desharnais V. (A), Fehervary M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
11:38, Liljegren T. (2 min),
18:26, Liljegren T. (2 min),
19:41, 4 - 2, Meier T. (G), Gritsyuk A. (A), Boqvist J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 3.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Washington could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Washington: Dubois P.
(Illness)
Sandin R.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for New Jersey: Bjugstad N.
(Chest Injury)
Brown C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Casey S.
(Knee Injury)
Evangelista L.
(Illness).
Doubtful / questionable for Washington: Roy M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Sourdif J.
(Illness).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Washington has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 75:74 (averaging 3.8:3.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Washington against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 31:35 goals (averaging 3.1:3.5 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
New Jersey Devils: 5.29% Washington Capitals: 4.65%
Last Results with these Odds
Washington Capitals - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.19%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.
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Thompson L. (G) 
Liljegren T. 
Pesce B. 
Gritsyuk A. 
Fehervary M. 
Siegenthaler J. 
Protas A. 
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