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Current Win Probability
Washington Capitals 42.3%
Draw 22.8%
New Jersey Devils 34.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
22.8%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46%
23.2%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
New Jersey Devils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Jersey Devils than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
33.3%
55.6%
Washington Capitals - New Jersey Devils Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). New Jersey will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for New Jersey: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
48. Thompson L. (G)
34. Allen J. (G)
57. Van Riemsdyk T.
7. Hamilton D.
6. Chychrun J.
71. Siegenthaler J.
72. Beauvillier A.
91. Mercer D.
17. Strome D. (A)
13. Hischier N. (C)
8. Ovechkin A. (C)
28. Meier T.
Line 2
3. Roy M.
8. Kovacevic J.
44. Hutson C.
43. Hughes L.
43. Wilson T. (A)
16. Brown C.
80. Dubois P.
86. Hughes J. (A)
21. Protas A.
63. Bratt J.
Line 3
38. Sandin R.
17. Nemec S.
42. Fehervary M.
5. Dillon B.
9. Leonard R.
29. Hameenaho L.
34. Sourdif J.
12. Glass C.
24. McMichael C.
81. Gritsyuk A.
Line 4
53. Frank E.
42. Tsyplakov M.
29. Lapierre H.
72. Bjugstad N.
22. Duhaime B.
47. Cotter P.
Substitutes
79. Lindgren C. (G)
25. Markstrom J. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.
. Keefe S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
09:36, 1 - 0, Leonard R. (G), Duhaime B. (A), Van Riemsdyk T. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
04:30, Frank E. (2 min),
18:17, Wilson T. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
08:38, Kovacevic J. (2 min),
18:17, 2 - 0, Protas A. (G), Dubois P. (A), Wilson T. (A2)
19:17, 2 - 1, Bratt J. (G), Hughes J. (A),
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 13)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
New Jersey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, New Jersey has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in New Jersey: MacEwen Z.
(Knee Injury)
Noesen S.
(Knee Injury)
Pesce B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Washington: Kampf D.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 75:71. (average 3.8:3.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:34. (average 3.2:3.8).
Outrights of NHL for now
Washington Capitals: 5.61% New Jersey Devils: 2.97%
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Thompson L. (G) 
Van Riemsdyk T. 
Siegenthaler J. 
Ovechkin A. (C) 
Protas A. 
Bratt J. 
Nemec S. 
Hameenaho L. 
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