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Current Win Probability
Colorado Avalanche 59.2%
Draw 20%
Ottawa Senators 20.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54%
19.7%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55%
19.3%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colorado Avalanche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colorado Avalanche's performance.
Ottawa Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ottawa Senators might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
15%
10%
Colorado Avalanche - Ottawa Senators Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Colorado will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Ottawa will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%). Confidence interval (95%) for Colorado: 56% – 94%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5, OT - Colorado (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Colorado Avalanche will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Colorado (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2
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Lineups
Line 1
41. Wedgewood S. (G)
40. Sogaard M. (G)
8. Makar C.
2. Zub A.
70. Malinski S.
85. Sanderson J.
88. Necas M.
24. Cozens D.
29. MacKinnon N.
18. Stutzle T.
62. Lehkonen A.
19. Batherson D.
Line 2
84. Burns B.
3. Jensen N.
42. Manson J.
72. Chabot T.
54. Brindley G.
20. Zetterlund F.
11. Nelson B.
12. Pinto S.
13. Nichushkin V.
7. Tkachuk B.
Line 3
49. Girard S.
10. Spence J.
28. Solovyov I.
43. Kleven T.
95. Olofsson V.
28. Giroux C.
18. Drury J.
71. Greig R.
20. Colton R.
22. Amadio M.
Line 4
93. Bardakov Z.
57. Perron D.
17. Kelly P.
89. Eller L.
82. Ivan I.
21. Cousins N.
Substitutes
50. Miner T. (G)
1. Merilainen L. (G)
Coaches
. Bednar J.
. Green T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
02:04, Manson J. (5 min),
02:04, Kleven T. (5 min),
10:11, 1 - 0, Manson J. (G), Colton R. (A), Nelson B. (A2)
17:14, 2 - 0, MacKinnon N. (G), Necas M. (A), Malinski S. (A2)
18:32, Girard S. (2 min),
2nd Period (6 - 1)
00:19, Manson J. (2 min),
02:35, 3 - 0, Makar C. (G), MacKinnon N. (A), Manson J. (A2)
02:35, Merilainen L. ↓, Sogaard M. ↑,
05:08, 3 - 1, Pinto S. (G), Giroux C. (A), Sanderson J. (A2)
11:02, Amadio M. (2 min),
11:46, 4 - 1, Necas M. (G), MacKinnon N. (A), Makar C. (A2)
12:03, 5 - 1, Burns B. (G), Manson J. (A), Colton R. (A2)
13:43, Tkachuk B. (2 min),
13:52, Pinto S. (2 min),
14:23, 6 - 1, Nelson B. (G), MacKinnon N. (A), Makar C. (A2)
16:48, 7 - 1, Manson J. (G), Drury J. (A), Girard S. (A2)
18:04, 8 - 1, Nelson B. (G), Solovyov I. (A), Colton R. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
00:01, Sogaard M. ↓, Merilainen L. ↑,
03:04, Stutzle T. (5 min),
03:04, Girard S. (5 min),
03:04, Girard S. (2 min),
05:55, Pinto S. (2 min),
07:03, 8 - 2, Tkachuk B. (G), Kleven T. (A),
11:49, Cousins N. (2 min),
11:49, Perron D. (Game Misconduct),
13:59, Greig R. (2 min),
13:59, Greig R. (Game Misconduct),
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 5.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Colorado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Ottawa has had a series of home games.
In this match, Colorado is the team to beat.
There will not play in Colorado: Blackwood M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Landeskog G.
(Upper-Body Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Hip Injury)
Toews D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in Ottawa: Eller L.
(Foot Injury)
Ullmark L.
(Personal Reasons)
There are questionable in Colorado: Kiviranta J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
We predict that Colorado will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 86:66. (average 4.3:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Colorado won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 47:31. (average 4.7:3.1).
Outrights of NHL for now
Colorado Avalanche: 9.47% Ottawa Senators: 2.53%
Last Results with these Odds
Colorado Avalanche - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 54.03%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Ottawa Senators - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 26.27%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
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Wedgewood S. (G) 
Sogaard M. (G) 
Zub A. 
Malinski S. 
Necas M. 
Stutzle T. 
Lehkonen A. 
Zetterlund F. 
Solovyov I. 
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