Match Info

NHL

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Canadian Tire Centre (Ottawa, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay, V Sport Live 2
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Live 2
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Live 2
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Ottawa Senators		Winnipeg Jets

	1	X	2
	2.25	4	2.75	Watch
	2.3	3.9	2.55
	2.23	4.24	2.72
	2.25	4.2	2.7	Watch
	2.25	4.33	2.63
	2.29	4.46	2.7
	2.3	4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.35)	4.16 ↓ (4.4)	2.67 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ottawa Senators
41.8%

Draw
22.8%

Winnipeg Jets
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

22.1%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

19.4%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Winnipeg Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ottawa Senators, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winnipeg Jets than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Ottawa Senators - Winnipeg Jets Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Winnipeg will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Winnipeg (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Merilainen L. (G)	37. Hellebuyck C. (G)
2. Zub A.	4. Pionk N.
85. Sanderson J.	44. Morrissey J. (A)
20. Zetterlund F.	13. Vilardi G.
18. Stutzle T.	55. Scheifele M. (A)
71. Greig R.	81. Connor K.
Line 2
3. Jensen N.	2. DeMelo D.
72. Chabot T. (A)	54. Samberg D.
19. Batherson D.	9. Iafallo A.
24. Cozens D.	19. Toews J.
7. Tkachuk B. (C)	91. Perfetti C.
Line 3
10. Spence J.	6. Miller C.
43. Kleven T.	64. Stanley L.
28. Giroux C. (A)	62. Niederreiter N.
12. Pinto S.	17. Lowry A. (C)
22. Amadio M.	36. Barron M.
Line 4
57. Perron D.	70. Pearson T.
83. Halliday S.	7. Namestnikov V.
21. Cousins N.	45. Koepke C.
Substitutes
31. Shepard H. (G)	1. Comrie E. (G)
Coaches
. Green T.	. Arniel S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
03:20, Cousins N. (2 min),
06:33, Stanley L. (2 min),
10:54, Toews J. (2 min),
12:08, 0 - 1, Lowry A. (G), Connor K. (A),
13:09, DeMelo D. (2 min),
15:02, 1 - 1, Chabot T. (G), Tkachuk B. (A),
17:27, Zub A. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
05:56, 2 - 1, Chabot T. (G), Jensen N. (A), Greig R. (A2)
09:24, Giroux C. (2 min),
12:07, Tkachuk B. (10 min),
12:07, Stanley L. (2 min),
15:49, 3 - 1, Batherson D. (G), Stutzle T. (A), Cozens D. (A2)
17:27, Zub A. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
10:10, 3 - 2, Connor K. (G), DeMelo D. (A), Morrissey J. (A2)
15:28, 4 - 2, Giroux C. (G), Sanderson J. (A), Pinto S. (A2)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 2.

Ottawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Winnipeg is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Winnipeg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Ottawa: Eller L. (Foot Injury) Ullmark L. (Personal Reasons)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 50:56. (average 2.5:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 2.1:2.8).

Outrights of NHL for now

Ottawa Senators: 2.53% Winnipeg Jets: 0.74%

Last Results with these Odds

Ottawa Senators - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 41.31%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ottawa Senators
NHL
01.01.26	Ottawa Senators - Washington Capitals	4:3 ✺
29.12.25	Ottawa Senators - Columbus Blue Jackets	1:4 ✺
27.12.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators	7:5 ✺
23.12.25	Ottawa Senators - Buffalo Sabres	2:3 OT ✺
21.12.25	Boston Bruins - Ottawa Senators	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLLW
- Winnipeg Jets
NHL
01.01.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Winnipeg Jets	6:5 ✺
31.12.25	Detroit Red Wings - Winnipeg Jets	2:1 ✺
29.12.25	Winnipeg Jets - Edmonton Oilers	1:3 ✺
27.12.25	Winnipeg Jets - Minnesota Wild	3:4 OT ✺
21.12.25	Utah Mammoth - Winnipeg Jets	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
15.12.25	Winnipeg Jets - Ottawa Senators	2:3 OT
26.02.25	Ottawa Senators - Winnipeg Jets	1:4
28.12.24	Winnipeg Jets - Ottawa Senators	4:2
30.03.24	Winnipeg Jets - Ottawa Senators	2:3
20.01.24	Ottawa Senators - Winnipeg Jets	1:2 OT
05.10.23	Winnipeg Jets - Ottawa Senators	0:3
29.09.23	Ottawa Senators - Winnipeg Jets	3:1

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