The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colorado Avalanche 62.2%
Draw 18.9%
Philadelphia Flyers 18.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.1%
21.1%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.5%
21.3%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colorado Avalanche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colorado Avalanche's performance.
Philadelphia Flyers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philadelphia Flyers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colorado Avalanche that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Flyers than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philadelphia Flyers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
73.3%
26.7%
0%
Colorado Avalanche - Philadelphia Flyers Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Colorado will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Colorado: 50.9% – 95.7%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Colorado Avalanche will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2
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Lineups
Line 1
39. Blackwood M. (G)
33. Ersson S. (G)
8. Makar C. (A)
8. York C.
70. Malinski S.
6. Sanheim T. (A)
88. Necas M.
11. Konecny T. (A)
29. MacKinnon N. (A)
22. Dvorak C.
95. Olofsson V.
46. Zegras T.
Line 2
84. Burns B.
9. Drysdale J.
42. Manson J.
24. Seeler N.
13. Nichushkin V.
74. Tippett O.
11. Nelson B. (A)
14. Couturier S. (C)
62. Lehkonen A.
52. Barkey D.
Line 3
49. Girard S.
47. Juulsen N.
15. Ahcan J.
36. Andrae E.
54. Brindley G.
10. Brink B.
18. Drury J.
27. Cates N.
20. Colton R.
39. Michkov M.
Line 4
16. Makar T.
19. Hathaway G.
17. Kelly P.
25. Pederson L.
93. Bardakov Z.
29. Grebyonkin N.
Substitutes
41. Wedgewood S. (G)
80. Vladar D. (G)
Coaches
. Bednar J.
. Tocchet R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
00:45, Konecny T. (2 min),
04:59, Cates N. (2 min),
15:02, 0 - 1, Tippett O. (G), Barkey D. (A), York C. (A2)
17:41, MacKinnon N. (2 min),
18:57, 0 - 2, Barkey D. (G), Michkov M. (A), Tippett O. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
02:02, Lehkonen A. (2 min),
07:17, 1 - 2, Kelly P. (G), Bardakov Z. (A), Ahcan J. (A2)
10:29, 2 - 2, Olofsson V. (G), MacKinnon N. (A), Necas M. (A2)
11:01, 2 - 3, Brink B. (G),
12:12, 3 - 3, Makar C. (G), MacKinnon N. (A), Necas M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 4)
00:56, 3 - 4, Tippett O. (G), Couturier S. (A),
02:00, 3 - 5, Michkov M. (G), Andrae E. (A), Hathaway G. (A2)
04:17, Andrae E. (2 min),
08:37, Barkey D. (2 min),
10:24, 3 - 6, Tippett O. (G),
16:53, 3 - 7, Michkov M. (G), Konecny T. (A),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 4.
Colorado has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Philadelphia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Colorado has had a series of home games.
Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games.
In this match, Colorado is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Colorado: Landeskog G.
(Upper-Body Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Hip Injury)
Toews D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in Philadelphia: Abols R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Foerster T.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Ristolainen R.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Vladar D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 70:59. (average 3.5:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Colorado won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 3.1:2.6).
Outrights of NHL for now
Colorado Avalanche: 9.47% Philadelphia Flyers: 1.29%
Last Results with these Odds
Colorado Avalanche - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 52.15%, but this team recently wins 65% of matches with these odds.
Philadelphia Flyers - the odds 3.53 are the expected chance of winning is 26.74%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.
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Blackwood M. (G) 
Ersson S. (G) 
York C. 
Necas M. 
Nichushkin V. 
Lehkonen A. 
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