The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colorado Avalanche 54.3%
Draw 20.7%
Toronto Maple Leafs 24.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.5%
21.1%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
21.7%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colorado Avalanche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colorado Avalanche that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Colorado Avalanche - Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Colorado will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
39. Blackwood M. (G)
41. Stolarz A. (G)
8. Makar C. (A)
43. Raddysh D.
7. Toews D.
22. McCabe J.
88. Necas M.
96. Roslovic J.
29. MacKinnon N. (A)
34. Matthews A. (C)
62. Lehkonen A.
86. Marchenko K.
Line 2
70. Malinski S.
8. Tanev C.
27. Kulak B.
44. Rielly M. (A)
91. Kadri N.
88. Nylander W.
11. Nelson B.
20. Paul N.
92. Landeskog G. (C)
53. Cowan E.
Line 3
84. Burns B.
28. Stecher T.
42. Manson J.
37. Blankenburg N.
13. Hughes T.
29. Groulx B.
9. Svechkov F.
15. Sissons C.
71. Schwartz J.
92. McKenna G.
Line 4
17. Kelly P.
24. Duhaime B.
10. Roy N.
73. Blueger T.
68. L'Heureux Z.
19. MacEwen Z.
Substitutes
41. Wedgewood S. (G)
72. Bobrovsky S. (G)
Coaches
. Bednar J.
. Hiller J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
00:24, Marchenko K. (2 min),
03:03, 0 - 1, Blankenburg N. (G), Nylander W. (A), Paul N. (A2)
10:46, 1 - 1, MacKinnon N. (G), Kulak B. (A), Toews D. (A2)
15:14, 2 - 1, MacKinnon N. (G), Makar C. (A), Necas M. (A2)
18:59, Roslovic J. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 3)
00:51, Stecher T. (2 min),
06:34, Schwartz J. (2 min),
06:53, 2 - 2, Nylander W. (G), McKenna G. (A), Matthews A. (A2)
12:25, 3 - 2, Nelson B. (G),
16:47, 3 - 3, Nylander W. (G), Matthews A. (A), Paul N. (A2)
17:33, 3 - 4, Cowan E. (G), Rielly M. (A), Nylander W. (A2)
19:32, Makar C. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
06:41, L'Heureux Z. (2 min),
06:41, Duhaime B. (2 min),
06:41, Duhaime B. (2 min),
11:20, MacKinnon N. (2 min),
12:02, 3 - 5, Matthews A. (G), Nylander W. (A), Marchenko K. (A2)
13:59, Svechkov F. (2 min),
17:10, Raddysh D. (2 min),
19:21, 3 - 6, Matthews A. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Colorado may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Toronto has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Colorado for this game.
Confirmed absences for Toronto: Domi M.
(Back Injury)
Joshua D.
(Abdominal strain)
Merzlikins E.
(Shoulder Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Colorado: O'Connor L.
(Lower-Body Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Toronto: Ekman-Larsson O.
(Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Colorado in today's match, at odds of 1.77.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Colorado has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 65:75 (averaging 3.3:3.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Colorado against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 33:48 goals (averaging 3.3:4.8 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Colorado Avalanche: 9.73% Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.22%
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Blackwood M. (G) 
Stolarz A. (G) 
Necas M. 
Lehkonen A. 
Marchenko K. 
Nylander W. 
Blueger T. 
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