Match Info

NHL

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Ball Arena (Denver, CO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN USA, ESPN+, MSG Sportsnet, MSG, NESN
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Colorado Avalanche		Toronto Maple Leafs

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.5	3.75	Watch
	1.78	4.25	3.50
	1.78	4.3	3.7
	1.75	4.53	3.76
	1.75	4.58	3.77	Watch
	1.74	4.5	3.7
	1.8	4.67	3.84
	1.75	4.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.87)	4.47 (4.47)	3.69 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colorado Avalanche
53.5%

Draw
21%

Toronto Maple Leafs
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

21.1%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

21.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colorado Avalanche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Colorado Avalanche - Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Colorado will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Colorado may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Toronto has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Bookmakers give the edge to Colorado for this game.

Confirmed absences for Toronto: Domi M. (Back Injury) Joshua D. (Abdominal strain) Merzlikins E. (Shoulder Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Colorado: O'Connor L. (Lower-Body Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Toronto: Ekman-Larsson O. (Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Colorado in today's match, at odds of 1.77.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Colorado has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 65:75 (averaging 3.3:3.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Colorado against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 33:48 goals (averaging 3.3:4.8 per game).

Outrights of NHL for now

Colorado Avalanche: 9.6% Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.48%

Last Results with these Odds

Colorado Avalanche - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50.51%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colorado Avalanche
NHL
08.10.26	Calgary Flames - Colorado Avalanche	3:7 ✺
07.10.26	Winnipeg Jets - Colorado Avalanche	3:2 ✺
03.10.26	Colorado Avalanche - St. Louis Blues	6:1 ✺
30.09.26	Colorado Avalanche - Los Angeles Kings	8:4 ✺
26.09.26	Utah Mammoth - Colorado Avalanche	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWL
- Toronto Maple Leafs
NHL
08.10.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs	4:3 penalties ✺
06.10.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Nashville Predators	5:4 OT ✺
03.10.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators	2:3 ✺
30.09.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Islanders	2:1 ✺
29.09.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
25.01.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Colorado Avalanche	1:4
12.01.26	Colorado Avalanche - Toronto Maple Leafs	3:4 OT
19.03.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Colorado Avalanche	2:1
08.03.25	Colorado Avalanche - Toronto Maple Leafs	7:4
24.02.24	Colorado Avalanche - Toronto Maple Leafs	3:4
13.01.24	Toronto Maple Leafs - Colorado Avalanche	3:5
15.03.23	Toronto Maple Leafs - Colorado Avalanche	1:2 penalties

Colorado Avalanche - Toronto Maple Leafs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide