Match Info

NHL

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: Ball Arena (Denver, CO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
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World	NHL.tv


	Colorado Avalanche		Washington Capitals

	1	X	2
	1.69	4.5	4	Watch
	1.73	4.58	3.89
	1.69	4.63	4.09	Watch
	1.73	4.5	4
	1.76	4.62	3.82	Watch
	1.62	4.75	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.81)	4.6 ↑ (4.47)	4.02 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colorado Avalanche
55.7%

Draw
20.6%

Washington Capitals
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

21.1%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

21.6%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colorado Avalanche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	31.2%	6.2%

Colorado Avalanche - Washington Capitals Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Colorado will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Washington will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colorado: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Colorado (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Washington (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
41. Wedgewood S. (G)	48. Thompson L. (G)
8. Makar C. (A)	74. Carlson J. (A)
70. Malinski S.	6. Chychrun J.
88. Necas M.	72. Beauvillier A.
29. MacKinnon N. (A)	17. Strome D.
62. Lehkonen A.	8. Ovechkin A. (C)
Line 2
84. Burns B.	3. Roy M.
42. Manson J.	42. Fehervary M.
13. Nichushkin V.	21. Protas A.
11. Nelson B. (A)	34. Sourdif J.
20. Colton R.	24. McMichael C.
Line 3
49. Girard S.	57. Van Riemsdyk T.
28. Solovyov I.	38. Sandin R.
95. Olofsson V.	9. Leonard R.
18. Drury J.	26. Dowd N. (A)
17. Kelly P.	53. Frank E.
Line 4
54. Brindley G.	20. Leason B.
82. Ivan I.	29. Lapierre H.
93. Bardakov Z.	22. Duhaime B.
Substitutes
39. Blackwood M. (G)	79. Lindgren C. (G)
Coaches
. Bednar J.	. Carbery S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
01:49, Solovyov I. (2 min),
05:54, 1 - 0, Kelly P. (G), Makar C. (A), Barre-Boulet A. (A2)
06:56, Wedgewood S. (2 min),
07:27, 1 - 1, Chychrun J. (G), Strome D. (A), Frank E. (A2)
15:42, Manson J. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
04:23, Chychrun J. (2 min),
07:03, 2 - 1, MacKinnon N. (G), Necas M. (A), Olofsson V. (A2)
08:50, Girard S. (2 min),
08:50, Miroshnichenko I. (2 min),
11:58, Protas A. (2 min),
15:58, 3 - 1, Olofsson V. (G), Manson J. (A), Nelson B. (A2)
16:15, 3 - 2, Frank E. (G), Ovechkin A. (A), Dowd N. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
04:26, Chychrun J. (2 min),
05:01, Beauvillier A. (2 min),
05:28, Nelson B. (2 min),
12:32, 4 - 2, Lehkonen A. (G), MacKinnon N. (A),
16:30, 5 - 2, MacKinnon N. (G), Necas M. (A),
19:42, Lindgren C. (2 min),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Colorado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Colorado has had a series of home games.

In this match, Colorado is the team to beat.

There will not play in Colorado: Kiviranta J. (Lower-Body Injury) O'Connor L. (Hip Injury) Toews D. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in Washington: Dubois P. (Abdominal strain) Sourdif J. (Upper-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Washington: Wilson T. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 60:66. (average 3:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Colorado won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:32. (average 3:3.2).

Outrights of NHL for now

Colorado Avalanche: 9.47% Washington Capitals: 5.74%

Last Results with these Odds

Colorado Avalanche - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 52.15%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colorado Avalanche
NHL
16.01.26	Colorado Avalanche - Nashville Predators	3:7 ✺
12.01.26	Colorado Avalanche - Toronto Maple Leafs	3:4 OT ✺
10.01.26	Colorado Avalanche - Columbus Blue Jackets	4:0 ✺
08.01.26	Colorado Avalanche - Ottawa Senators	8:2 ✺
06.01.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Colorado Avalanche	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWL
- Washington Capitals
NHL
17.01.26	Washington Capitals - Florida Panthers	2:5 ✺
15.01.26	Washington Capitals - San Jose Sharks	2:3 ✺
13.01.26	Washington Capitals - Montreal Canadiens	3:2 OT ✺
11.01.26	Nashville Predators - Washington Capitals	3:2 ✺
09.01.26	Chicago Blackhawks - Washington Capitals	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
21.11.24	Washington Capitals - Colorado Avalanche	1:2
15.11.24	Colorado Avalanche - Washington Capitals	2:5
13.02.24	Washington Capitals - Colorado Avalanche	3:6
24.01.24	Colorado Avalanche - Washington Capitals	6:2
24.01.23	Colorado Avalanche - Washington Capitals	3:2
19.11.22	Washington Capitals - Colorado Avalanche	0:4
18.04.22	Colorado Avalanche - Washington Capitals	2:3

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