Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Connecticut Huskies		Merrimack Warriors

	1	X	2
	1.76	4.1	3.45
	1.85	4	3.1
	1.77	4.2	3.4
	1.85	4.1	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.8)	4.1 (4.1)	3.27 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Connecticut Huskies
50.2%

Draw
22.1%

Merrimack Warriors
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

22.1%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

23.6%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Connecticut Huskies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Merrimack Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Connecticut Huskies than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Connecticut Huskies - Merrimack Warriors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
3rd Period (0 - 1)

Preview

Recent performances by Connecticut have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Merrimack is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Connecticut has had a series of home games.

Connecticut could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Connecticut won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:10. (average 3.3:3.3).

Including home match between the teams, Connecticut won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6.

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Connecticut Huskies: 2.84% Merrimack Warriors: 1.66%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Connecticut Huskies hockey
NCAA Hockey
20.03.26	Connecticut Huskies - Boston College Eagles	4:3 OT ✺
14.03.26	Connecticut Huskies - Boston University Terriers	5:3 ✺
07.03.26	Providence Friars - Connecticut Huskies	3:1 ✺
05.03.26	Connecticut Huskies - New Hampshire Wildcats	4:1 ✺
27.02.26	Connecticut Huskies - Massachusetts Minutemen	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWL
- Merrimack Warriors hockey
NCAA Hockey
20.03.26	Massachusetts Minutemen - Merrimack Warriors	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Providence Friars - Merrimack Warriors	2:3 OT ✺
11.03.26	Merrimack Warriors - UMass Lowell River Hawks	5:3 ✺
05.03.26	Merrimack Warriors - UMass Lowell River Hawks	5:3 ✺
21.02.26	Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
11.11.23	Merrimack Warriors - Connecticut Huskies	3:4
10.11.23	Connecticut Huskies - Merrimack Warriors	3:6
29.11.22	Merrimack Warriors - Connecticut Huskies	1:3

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