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Current Win Probability
Detroit Red Wings 37.9%
Draw 22.8%
Montreal Canadiens 39.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42%
22.8%
35.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
23.5%
33.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Detroit Red Wings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Montreal Canadiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit Red Wings than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Detroit Red Wings, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montreal Canadiens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
71.4%
14.3%
Detroit Red Wings - Montreal Canadiens Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Detroit will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Montreal will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
36. Gibson J. (G)
75. Dobes J. (G)
53. Seider M. (A)
53. Dobson N.
77. Edvinsson S.
8. Matheson M. (A)
88. Kane P.
13. Caufield C.
37. Compher J.T.
14. Suzuki N. (C)
93. DeBrincat A.
20. Slafkovsky J.
Line 2
72. Faulk J.
48. Hutson L.
8. Chiarot B.
47. Struble J.
23. Raymond L. (A)
93. Demidov I.
58. Finnie E.
91. Kapanen O.
57. Perron D.
15. Newhook A.
Line 3
25. Bernard-Docker J.
45. Carrier A.
20. Johansson A.
21. Guhle K.
22. Appleton M.
76. Bolduc Z.
92. Kasper M.
71. Evans J.
21. Van Riemsdyk J.
85. Texier A.
Line 4
43. Leonard J.
11. Gallagher B. (A)
15. Dries S.
24. Danault P.
65. Shine D.
90. Veleno J.
Substitutes
39. Talbot C. (G)
32. Fowler J. (G)
Coaches
. McLellan T.
. St. Louis M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
09:35, Van Riemsdyk J. (2 min),
09:35, Guhle K. (2 min),
17:39, Chiarot B. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
04:13, Carrier A. (2 min),
07:54, Hutson L. (2 min),
17:32, Seider M. (2 min),
17:45, 0 - 1, Slafkovsky J. (G), Caufield C. (A), Suzuki N. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
02:12, 1 - 1, Compher J.T. (G), Kane P. (A), DeBrincat A. (A2)
03:44, Seider M. (2 min),
03:44, Struble J. (2 min),
16:33, 2 - 1, DeBrincat A. (G),
19:43, 3 - 1, Copp A. (G), DeBrincat A. (A),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, Detroit has had a series of away games.
Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Detroit: Brandsegg-Nygard M.
(Injury)
Copp A.
(Leg Injury)
Larkin D.
(Leg Injury)
Rasmussen M.
(Injury)
There will not play in Montreal: Dach K.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Laine P.
(Abdominal strain)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 59:59. (average 3:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Detroit won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:29. (average 3.1:2.9).
Outrights of NHL for now
Montreal Canadiens: 3.13% Detroit Red Wings: 0.34%
Last Results with these Odds
Montreal Canadiens - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 35.15%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.