The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Detroit Red Wings 40.4%
Draw 23%
Philadelphia Flyers 36.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.1%
22.6%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
24.4%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Detroit Red Wings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Philadelphia Flyers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit Red Wings than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Detroit Red Wings, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Flyers than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Philadelphia Flyers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
28.6%
42.9%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Detroit will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
36. Gibson J. (G)
80. Vladar D. (G)
53. Seider M. (A)
55. Ristolainen R.
77. Edvinsson S.
6. Sanheim T. (A)
23. Raymond L. (A)
74. Tippett O.
71. Larkin D. (C)
46. Zegras T.
58. Finnie E.
71. Foerster T.
Line 2
72. Faulk J.
9. Drysdale J.
8. Chiarot B.
8. York C.
88. Kane P.
94. Martone P.
18. Copp A.
22. Dvorak C.
93. DeBrincat A.
11. Konecny T. (A)
Line 3
44. Sandin-Pellikka A.
36. Andrae E.
20. Johansson A.
24. Seeler N.
57. Perron D.
39. Michkov M.
37. Compher J.T.
27. Cates N.
92. Kasper M.
20. Bump A.
Line 4
43. Mazur C.
41. Glendening L.
27. Rasmussen M.
14. Couturier S. (C)
21. Van Riemsdyk J.
52. Barkey D.
Substitutes
39. Talbot C. (G)
33. Ersson S. (G)
Coaches
. McLellan T.
. Tocchet R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
02:07, Michkov M. (2 min),
02:28, 1 - 0, DeBrincat A. (G), Raymond L. (A), Seider M. (A2)
02:45, Faulk J. (2 min),
09:57, Foerster T. (2 min),
13:24, 1 - 1, Dvorak C. (G), Martone P. (A), Konecny T. (A2)
18:26, Chiarot B. (2 min),
20:00, Martone P. (2 min),
20:00, Ristolainen R. (2 min),
20:00, Raymond L. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
00:15, Tippett O. (2 min),
00:32, 2 - 1, Seider M. (G), Kane P. (A), Larkin D. (A2)
01:50, 3 - 1, Larkin D. (G), Kane P. (A), Seider M. (A2)
02:43, Seider M. (2 min),
04:15, Faulk J. (2 min),
04:56, 4 - 1, Larkin D. (G), Johansson A. (A),
04:56, Vladar D. ↓, Ersson S. ↑,
08:58, Faulk J. (2 min),
09:25, 4 - 2, Martone P. (G), Zegras T. (A), Drysdale J. (A2)
10:40, Gibson J. ↓, Talbot C. ↑,
3rd Period (2 - 1)
07:01, 5 - 2, Kane P. (G), Edvinsson S. (A), Seider M. (A2)
10:20, Johansson A. (2 min),
10:20, Zegras T. (2 min),
11:39, 6 - 2, Larkin D. (G), Seider M. (A), Raymond L. (A2)
13:15, Edvinsson S. (2 min),
18:09, 6 - 3, Glendening L. (G), Barkey D. (A), Couturier S. (A2)
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 2.
Recent form of Detroit has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Philadelphia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Detroit: Appleton M.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Rasmussen M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in Philadelphia: Abols R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Grebyonkin N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 57:65. (average 2.9:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Detroit won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:32. (average 3.6:3.2).
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Outrights of NHL for now
Philadelphia Flyers: 2.85%
Last Results with these Odds
Detroit Red Wings - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 44.14%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Philadelphia Flyers - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 33.26%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.