Match Info

NHL

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Little Caesars Arena (Detroit, MI)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 3
Chile	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV6
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ABC app, ABC
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Detroit Red Wings		Pittsburgh Penguins

	1	X	2
	2.1	4.2	2.9	Watch
	2.15	3.9	2.8
	2.15	4.23	2.84
	2.12	4.3	2.87	Watch
	2.1	4.33	2.88
	2.09	4.62	2.97
	2.05	4.25	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.05)	4.26 ↓ (4.62)	2.89 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Detroit Red Wings
44.9%

Draw
22.2%

Pittsburgh Penguins
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

21%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

19.3%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Detroit Red Wings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Pittsburgh Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit Red Wings than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Detroit Red Wings, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Detroit Red Wings - Pittsburgh Penguins Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Detroit will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Detroit Red Wings will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
36. Gibson J. (G)	74. Skinner S. (G)
53. Seider M. (A)	65. Karlsson E.
77. Edvinsson S.	28. Wotherspoon P.
23. Raymond L. (A)	17. Rust B. (A)
71. Larkin D. (C)	87. Crosby S. (C)
58. Finnie E.	67. Rakell R.
Line 2
44. Sandin-Pellikka A.	58. Letang K. (A)
8. Chiarot B.	77. Kulak B.
88. Kane P.	16. Brazeau J.
18. Copp A.	18. Novak T.
93. DeBrincat A.	39. Mantha A.
Line 3
25. Bernard-Docker J.	3. St.Ivany J.
20. Johansson A.	5. Shea R.
22. Appleton M.	2. McGroarty R.
37. Compher J.T.	81. Kindel B.
27. Rasmussen M.	59. Chinakhov Y.
Line 4
21. Van Riemsdyk J.	55. Acciari N.
29. Danielson N.	46. Lizotte B.
92. Kasper M.	19. Dewar C.
Substitutes
39. Talbot C. (G)	37. Silovs A. (G)
Coaches
. McLellan T.	. Muse D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
03:44, 0 - 1, Rust B. (G), Crosby S. (A), Wotherspoon P. (A2)
07:45, Kulak B. (2 min),
08:47, Seider M. (2 min),
17:30, 0 - 2, Chinakhov Y. (G), Kindel B. (A), Wotherspoon P. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
15:06, 1 - 2, DeBrincat A. (G),
16:41, Novak T. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
00:34, Edvinsson S. (2 min),
19:00, 1 - 3, Rakell R. (G), Crosby S. (A),
19:28, 1 - 4, Dewar C. (G), Lizotte B. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 2.

Detroit has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pittsburgh is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Detroit may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Detroit is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Pittsburgh: Hallander F. (Leg Injury) Jones C. (Lower-Body Injury) Malkin E. (Upper-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 64:80. (average 3.2:4).

Including home matches between the teams, Detroit won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:40. (average 3.1:4).

Outrights of NHL for now

Pittsburgh Penguins: 1.18% Detroit Red Wings: 0.4%

Last Results with these Odds

Pittsburgh Penguins - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 31.7%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Detroit Red Wings
NHL
01.01.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Detroit Red Wings	4:3 OT ✺
31.12.25	Detroit Red Wings - Winnipeg Jets	2:1 ✺
28.12.25	Detroit Red Wings - Toronto Maple Leafs	3:2 OT ✺
27.12.25	Carolina Hurricanes - Detroit Red Wings	5:2 ✺
23.12.25	Detroit Red Wings - Dallas Stars	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWLW
- Pittsburgh Penguins
NHL
01.01.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Detroit Red Wings	4:3 OT ✺
30.12.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Carolina Hurricanes	5:1 ✺
28.12.25	Chicago Blackhawks - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:7 ✺
23.12.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Pittsburgh Penguins	6:3 ✺
21.12.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Montreal Canadiens	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
01.01.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Detroit Red Wings	4:3 OT
29.09.25	Detroit Red Wings - Pittsburgh Penguins	1:2
26.09.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Detroit Red Wings	3:2
31.12.24	Detroit Red Wings - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:2
13.11.24	Pittsburgh Penguins - Detroit Red Wings	2:3 OT
10.10.24	Detroit Red Wings - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:6
01.10.24	Pittsburgh Penguins - Detroit Red Wings	1:2

Detroit Red Wings - Pittsburgh Penguins: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide