The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Detroit Red Wings 42.6%
Draw 23.2%
Vegas Golden Knights 34.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
22.5%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.7%
23.8%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Detroit Red Wings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Detroit Red Wings's performance.
Vegas Golden Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vegas Golden Knights might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Red Wings than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
30%
10%
Detroit Red Wings - Vegas Golden Knights Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Detroit will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Vegas will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Detroit: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 6 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Detroit Red Wings will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
39. Talbot C. (G)
33. Hill A. (G)
53. Seider M. (A)
27. Theodore S.
77. Edvinsson S.
3. McNabb B. (A)
88. Kane P.
42. Bowman B.
71. Larkin D. (C)
9. Eichel J. (A)
27. Rasmussen M.
49. Barbashev I.
Line 2
44. Sandin-Pellikka A.
4. Andersson R.
8. Chiarot B.
5. Lauzon J.
23. Raymond L. (A)
16. Dorofeyev P.
18. Copp A.
93. Marner M. (A)
93. DeBrincat A.
19. Smith R.
Line 3
25. Bernard-Docker J.
6. Korczak K.
20. Johansson A.
15. Hanifin N.
22. Appleton M.
55. Kolesar K.
92. Kasper M.
48. Hertl T.
58. Finnie E.
20. Saad B.
Line 4
65. Shine D.
22. Smith C.
37. Compher J.T.
10. Sissons C.
21. Van Riemsdyk J.
23. Reinhardt C.
Substitutes
33. Cossa S. (G)
40. Schmid A. (G)
Coaches
. McLellan T.
. Cassidy B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 1)
01:50, 0 - 1, Smith R. (G), Marner M. (A), Dorofeyev P. (A2)
05:58, 1 - 1, Finnie E. (G), Seider M. (A), Edvinsson S. (A2)
15:15, 2 - 1, Edvinsson S. (G), Copp A. (A), DeBrincat A. (A2)
16:14, 3 - 1, DeBrincat A. (G), Raymond L. (A), Sandin-Pellikka A. (A2)
18:47, Kolesar K. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
02:51, Larkin D. (2 min),
09:14, Hertl T. (2 min),
14:31, Theodore S. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
11:37, 3 - 2, Barbashev I. (G), Andersson R. (A), Hanifin N. (A2)
16:36, 3 - 3, Marner M. (G), Hertl T. (A), Theodore S. (A2)
17:37, Hertl T. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:52, Edvinsson S. (2 min),
02:11, 3 - 4, Hertl T. (G), Marner M. (A), Andersson R. (A2)
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Vegas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Vegas: Hart C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Howden B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Karlsson W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Pietrangelo A.
(Hip Injury)
Rondbjerg J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Detroit: Gibson J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Vegas: Marner M.
(Illness)
Stone M.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Theodore S.
(Illness)
We predict that Detroit will win today's game, with odds of 2.25.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 40:42. (average 2.9:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Detroit won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 2.9:2.6).
Outrights of NHL for now
Vegas Golden Knights: 7.11% Detroit Red Wings: 0.4%
Last Results with these Odds
Detroit Red Wings - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 37.5%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.