Match Info

MHL

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Dinamo-Karelia		Red Machine Junior

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.96	3.21
	2.14	4.47	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.09)	4.22 ↓ (4.8)	2.95 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo-Karelia
46.2%

Draw
22.1%

Red Machine Junior
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

19.5%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

18.5%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo-Karelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Red Machine Junior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo-Karelia than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Machine Junior than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Dinamo Karelia - Red Machine Junior Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Klimachyov M. (G)	70. Abdulgaziev V. (G)
25. Arsentyev I. (C)	13. Sakhayev N. (A)
3. Sherenkov D.	7. Abdrashitov T. (C)
19. Bazanov I.	98. Yaskin F.
34. Novikov E.	53. Kazakov M.
22. Sharov Y.	47. Kozhanov I.
Line 2
7. Gulko A.	18. Dyomkin I.
24. Petrov A.	4. Ginters R.
37. Kuzmin F. (A)	99. Khvatov M.
35. Fysyna R. (A)	87. Filimoshin A.
28. Pavlovsky D.	77. Storchak D. (A)
Line 3
21. Pogosbekyan A.	15. Yakushev I.
41. Kolpakov P.	3. Safin E.
17. Marininov Y.	85. Krakhmalev A.
11. Afanasyev I.	27. Belov V.
29. Kozlovsky B.	14. Sidorov I.
Line 4
5. Volchek P.	28. Stepanov S. A.
26. Medvedev Y.	97. Bosamykin G.
16. Bobryshev I.	92. Voropayev K.
31. Krasavin Y.	24. Stepanov I.
Substitutes
76. Bondarenko K. (G)	34. Moseikin Y. (G)
38. Kobets I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
06:40, 1 - 0, Fysyna R. (G), Kuzmin F. (A), Gulko A. (A2)
19:14, 1 - 1, Ginters R. (G), Abdrashitov T. (A), Khvatov M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:51, 1 - 2, Filimoshin A. (G), Khvatov M. (A),
07:59, 1 - 3, Yaskin F. (G), Kazakov M. (A),
14:27, 2 - 3, Marininov Y. (G), Pogosbekyan A. (A), Kozlovsky B. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
01:27, 3 - 3, Kobets I. (G),
10:38, 4 - 3, Arsentyev I. (G), Novikov E. (A), Pogosbekyan A. (A2)
19:33, 5 - 3, Pavlovsky D. (G), Petrov A. (A),

Preview

Recent form of Dinamo-Karelia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Red Machine has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Dinamo-Karelia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dinamo-Karelia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3.

Including home match between the teams, Dinamo-Karelia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo-Karelia Kondopoga
MHL
23.10.25	Dinamo-Karelia - Red Machine Junior	5:3 ✺
17.10.25	SKA-Akademiya - Dinamo-Karelia	3:2 OT ✺
12.10.25	Dinamo-Karelia - SKA-Akademiya	2:6 ✺
05.10.25	Dinamo-Karelia - SKA-1946	2:3 ✺
29.09.25	Dinamo-Karelia - AKM Novomoskovsk	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL
- Red Machine Junior
MHL
23.10.25	Dinamo-Karelia - Red Machine Junior	5:3 ✺
19.10.25	Red Machine Junior - Mikhaylov Academy	0:3 ✺
17.10.25	Red Machine Junior - Kapitan Stupino	2:6 ✺
15.10.25	Red Machine Junior - Sakhalinskie Akuly	4:5 penalties ✺
14.10.25	Red Machine Junior - Sakhalinskie Akuly	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

MHL
23.10.25	Dinamo-Karelia - Red Machine Junior	5:3

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