Match Info

Extraleague - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Dinamo Molodechno		Neman Grodno

	1	X	2
	1.72	4.05	4.11
	1.7	4.05	3.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.79)	4.05 ↑ (4.03)	4.04 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Molodechno
54.2%

Draw
22.9%

Neman Grodno
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

23%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

23.9%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Molodechno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Neman Grodno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Molodechno than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neman Grodno than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Dinamo Molodechno - Neman Grodno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Makarov A. (G)	69. Karnaukhov M. (G)
7. Stankevich S.	32. Lisovets Y.
9. Surkov V.	61. Uss I.
71. Cheremeta M.	10. Andryushchenko V.
18. Drozd S.	96. Poddubnyi G.
93. Anoshko I.	7. Avramenko Y.
Line 2
3. Denisov P.	15. Mazhuga Y.
62. Lugovyak S.	45. Letov I.
87. Masilevich V.	28. Kisly A.
24. Andreyev G.	87. Zhukovsky I.
82. Vladimirov N.	99. Jelisejevs N.
Line 3
56. Kovgorenya T.	57. Romanovich S.
76. Buynich K.	86. Savritsky D.
5. Klavdiyev Y.	13. Kolgotin D.
67. Razvadovsky P.	19. Smirnov K.
16. Mikhalyov M.	23. Antonovich V.
Line 4
88. Kukulya I.	95. Sevko Y.
47. Ignatenko Y.	26. Klopov A.
84. Mokhorev A.	12. Azhgirei P.
12. Tkach D.	91. Bastrykin N.
	97. Zhilyuk K.
Substitutes
42. Shevtsov M.	74. Kozlovsky K. (G)
25. Stepanov S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
11:04, 1 - 0, Tkach D. (G), Surkov V. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
06:20, 1 - 1, Kisly A. (G), Zhukovsky I. (A),
09:34, 1 - 2, Kolgotin D. (G), Smirnov K. (A), Sevko Y. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
06:30, 2 - 2, Drozd S. (G), Cheremeta M. (A),
08:00, 2 - 3, Antonovich V. (G), Mazhuga Y. (A), Kolgotin D. (A2)
09:59, 2 - 4, Kolgotin D. (G), Antonovich V. (A),
19:15, 2 - 5, Zhilyuk K. (G),

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Molodechno won 2.

Dinamo Molodechno has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Neman has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Dinamo Molodechno has had a series of away games.

In this match, Dinamo Molodechno is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Molodechno won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 46:53. (average 2.3:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo Molodechno won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:33. (average 2.7:2.8).

Outrights of Belarusian Extraleague for now

Neman Grodno: 7.95%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Molodechno	11	5	1	2	3	26:20	14
10	Neman Grodno	11	2	2	1	6	22:28	9

Last Results with these Odds

Dinamo Molodechno - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 51.73%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Dinamo Molodechno
Belarusian Extraleague
02.03.26	Vitebsk - Dinamo Molodechno	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Vitebsk - Dinamo Molodechno	2:3 ✺
23.02.26	Yunost Minsk - Dinamo Molodechno	4:2 ✺
21.02.26	Yunost Minsk - Dinamo Molodechno	3:0 ✺
17.02.26	Dinamo Molodechno - Metallurg Zhlobin	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLL
- HK Neman Grodno
Belarusian Extraleague
02.03.26	Neman Grodno - Lokomotiv Orsha	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Neman Grodno - Lokomotiv Orsha	6:0 ✺
24.02.26	Slavutych Smolensk - Neman Grodno	4:2 ✺
22.02.26	Slavutych Smolensk - Neman Grodno	3:2 ✺
17.02.26	Neman Grodno - Lida	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Extraleague
01.12.25	Neman Grodno - Dinamo Molodechno	2:1
29.11.25	Neman Grodno - Dinamo Molodechno	5:2
13.09.25	Dinamo Molodechno - Neman Grodno	4:2
11.09.25	Dinamo Molodechno - Neman Grodno	3:2 penalties
Belarusian Cup Hockey
15.08.25	Dinamo Molodechno - Neman Grodno	1:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
24.07.25	Neman Grodno - Dinamo Molodechno	1:0
Belarusian Extraleague
19.03.25	Dinamo Molodechno - Neman Grodno	2:1

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