Match Info

Extraleague

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Neman Grodno		Lokomotiv Orsha

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.48	4.42
	1.58	4.25	4.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.55)	4.37 ↓ (4.52)	4.39 ↓ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neman Grodno
57.8%

Draw
21.1%

Lokomotiv Orsha
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

20.4%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

22.2%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neman Grodno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Lokomotiv Orsha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neman Grodno than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Orsha than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Neman Grodno - Lokomotiv Orsha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
69. Karnaukhov M. (G)	31. Karachun V. (G)
61. Uss I.	24. Savelyev A.
15. Mazhuga Y.	4. Rogach D.
10. Andryushchenko V.	16. Borozna T.
96. Poddubnyi G.	9. Kashkar V.
7. Avramenko Y.	32. Nozdrachev Y.
Line 2
95. Sevko Y.	71. Buivan S.
45. Letov I.	55. Burovtsev D.
12. Azhgirei P.	69. Rangayev S.
87. Zhukovsky I.	85. Pereguda A.
99. Jelisejevs N.	63. Voronov Y.
Line 3
57. Romanovich S.	21. Tolopilo M.
86. Savritsky D.	7. Petrov I.
13. Kolgotin D.	13. Silchenko I.
19. Smirnov K.	92. Matyushenko M.
23. Antonovich V.	17. Apanasevich V.
Line 4
26. Klopov A.	77. Skvortsov G.
29. Klimin V.	10. Stakhov S.
90. Morgis A.	23. Klyukvin K.
91. Bastrykin N.	97. Yevtushenko A.
97. Zhilyuk K.
Substitutes
74. Kozlovsky K. (G)	70. Starovoitov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
04:42, 1 - 0, Jelisejevs N. (G), Zhukovsky I. (A),
09:35, 1 - 1, Matyushenko M. (G), Apanasevich V. (A), Rogach D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
06:30, 2 - 1, Kolgotin D. (G), Romanovich S. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neman won 3.

Neman is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lokomotiv Orsha has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lokomotiv Orsha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lokomotiv Orsha has had a series of away games.

In this match, Neman is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neman won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 66:53. (average 3.3:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Neman won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:26. (average 3.5:2.4).

Outrights of Belarusian Extraleague for now

Neman Grodno: 7.95% Lokomotiv Orsha: 0.8%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Neman Grodno	11	2	2	1	6	22:28	9
12	Lokomotiv Orsha	11	1	2	1	7	27:46	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Neman Grodno
Belarusian Extraleague
28.02.26	Neman Grodno - Lokomotiv Orsha	6:0 ✺
24.02.26	Slavutych Smolensk - Neman Grodno	4:2 ✺
22.02.26	Slavutych Smolensk - Neman Grodno	3:2 ✺
17.02.26	Neman Grodno - Lida	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Neman Grodno - Lida	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL
- Lokomotiv Orsha
Belarusian Extraleague
28.02.26	Neman Grodno - Lokomotiv Orsha	6:0 ✺
23.02.26	Gomel - Lokomotiv Orsha	5:2 ✺
21.02.26	Gomel - Lokomotiv Orsha	3:2 penalties ✺
18.02.26	Vitebsk - Lokomotiv Orsha	9:5 ✺
16.02.26	Vitebsk - Lokomotiv Orsha	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Extraleague
28.02.26	Neman Grodno - Lokomotiv Orsha	6:0
19.11.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Neman Grodno	1:2
17.11.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Neman Grodno	4:2
25.02.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Neman Grodno	3:2
23.02.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Neman Grodno	0:2
21.10.24	Neman Grodno - Lokomotiv Orsha	3:1
19.10.24	Neman Grodno - Lokomotiv Orsha	5:0

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