Match Info

Extraleague

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Vitebsk		Dinamo Molodechno

	1	X	2
	1.93	4.02	3.26
	1.85	3.84	3.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.79)	3.93 ↓ (4)	3.32 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitebsk
48.8%

Draw
23.4%

Dinamo Molodechno
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

23.1%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

23.5%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitebsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Dinamo Molodechno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Molodechno than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Vitebsk - Dinamo Molodechno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
27. Bobariko R. (G)	1. Makarov A. (G)
97. Grishanov A.	7. Stankevich S.
55. Safin-Tregubov S.	9. Surkov V.
57. Gimbatov A.	87. Masilevich V.
19. Yadroets N.	18. Drozd S.
14. Mikhailov M.	93. Anoshko I.
Line 2
93. Shchyochin V.	3. Denisov P.
44. Rubets K.	62. Lugovyak S.
13. Astankov Y.	56. Kovgorenya T.
92. Sapozhnikov V.	47. Ignatenko Y.
9. Goncharov A.	42. Shevtsov M.
Line 3
11. Narodovsky V.	22. Kupchikhin P.
22. Smirnov A.	8. Olshansky S.
12. Levko A.	12. Tkach D.
15. Malinovsky R.	24. Andreyev G.
86. Solomonov Y.	82. Vladimirov N.
Line 4
17. Ipatov V.	88. Kukulya I.
68. Listopadov M.	29. Gaidukevich I.
10. Vasyutovich P.	67. Razvadovsky P.
	84. Mokhorev A.
	16. Mikhalyov M.
Substitutes
31. Minegaliyev A. (G)	25. Stepanov S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
16:43, 1 - 0, Goncharov A. (G), Ipatov V. (A), Astankov Y. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
13:06, 1 - 1, Surkov V. (G), Stankevich S. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
02:38, 2 - 1, Goncharov A. (G), Gimbatov A. (A), Rubets K. (A2)
18:49, 3 - 1, Solomonov Y. (G), Smirnov A. (A), Levko A. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitebsk won 1.

Vitebsk is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dinamo Molodechno's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vitebsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vitebsk is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Vitebsk will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vitebsk won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 74:44. (average 3.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitebsk won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:24. (average 3.5:2.2).

Outrights of Belarusian Extraleague for now

Vitebsk: 7.95%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Molodechno	11	5	1	2	3	26:20	14
8	Vitebsk	11	5	1	1	4	34:29	13

Last Results with these Odds

Vitebsk - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 51.69%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Dinamo Molodechno - the odds 3.66 are the expected chance of winning is 25.24%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Vitebsk
Belarusian Extraleague
28.02.26	Vitebsk - Dinamo Molodechno	2:3 ✺
23.02.26	Metallurg Zhlobin - Vitebsk	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Metallurg Zhlobin - Vitebsk	4:8 ✺
18.02.26	Vitebsk - Lokomotiv Orsha	9:5 ✺
16.02.26	Vitebsk - Lokomotiv Orsha	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWW
- HC Dinamo Molodechno
Belarusian Extraleague
28.02.26	Vitebsk - Dinamo Molodechno	2:3 ✺
23.02.26	Yunost Minsk - Dinamo Molodechno	4:2 ✺
21.02.26	Yunost Minsk - Dinamo Molodechno	3:0 ✺
17.02.26	Dinamo Molodechno - Metallurg Zhlobin	1:6 ✺
15.02.26	Dinamo Molodechno - Metallurg Zhlobin	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Extraleague
28.02.26	Vitebsk - Dinamo Molodechno	2:3
18.11.25	Dinamo Molodechno - Vitebsk	4:2
16.11.25	Dinamo Molodechno - Vitebsk	1:2
12.02.25	Vitebsk - Dinamo Molodechno	1:4
10.02.25	Vitebsk - Dinamo Molodechno	3:4 penalties
13.11.24	Dinamo Molodechno - Vitebsk	6:5 penalties
11.11.24	Dinamo Molodechno - Vitebsk	0:5

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