Match Info

MHL

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday


	Dinamo-Shinnik		Tolpar

	1	X	2
	2.42	4.34	2.37
	2.29	4.27	2.54	Watch
	2.2	4.25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.34)	4.29 ↓ (4.3)	2.54 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dinamo-Shinnik
40.9%

Draw
22%

Tolpar
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

21.6%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

20.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo-Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Tolpar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo-Shinnik than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Dinamo Shinnik - Tolpar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
31. Prokhorov Y. (G)	99. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)
18. Volochko K.	16. Khusainov R.
88. Yatsenko A. (C)	23. Khafzetdinov A. (A)
8. Khobyan D. (A)	97. Faizov A. (A)
91. Kravchuk A.	37. Zagrebin M. (C)
79. Khomchenko O.	28. Akhsyanov B.
Line 2
63. Popovsky B.	36. Gunkin Y.
53. Nevera D.	98. Zayets D.
76. Lakhnov I.	18. Kireyev R.
92. Karaban Y.	92. Ilyichyov M.
70. Khodorovich N.	74. Adamyan A.
Line 3
21. Yeliseyev A. (A)	86. Volkov D.
77. Lozovsky K.	58. Plotnikov D.
10. Pavlov N.	11. Shaykhlislamov A.
12. Gazdevich M.	87. Buzdyganov V.
90. Kapustin A.	9. Petrenko D.
Line 4
4. Rusakov A.	24. Karasyov M.
81. Ivanyushin G.	13. Korenev D.
9. Kuznetsov A.	63. Makarkin A.
99. Korzun G.	67. Khabibullin A.
	78. Zhuk A.
Substitutes
51. Sevko K.	30. Povarov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
04:07, 0 - 1, Faizov A. (G), Ilyichyov M. (A),
08:38, 0 - 2, Akhsyanov B. (G), Ilyichyov M. (A), Khusainov R. (A2)
18:52, 1 - 2, Volochko K. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
12:53, 2 - 2, Sevko K. (G), Lozovsky K. (A), Yeliseyev A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:54, 2 - 3, Zagrebin M. (G), Akhsyanov B. (A),

Preview

Dinamo-Shinnik is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tolpar is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tolpar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Dinamo-Shinnik will win today's game, with odds of 2.28.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dinamo-Shinnik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Dinamo-Shinnik - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.7%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo-Shinnik
MHL
13.09.25	Dinamo-Shinnik - Amurskie Tigry	2:1 ✺
09.09.25	Dinamo-Shinnik - Sakhalinskie Akuly	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Dinamo-Shinnik - Tayfun	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
30.08.25	Dinamo-Shinnik - Baranovichy	4:2 ✺
23.08.25	SKA-1946 - Dinamo-Shinnik	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL
- Tolpar Ufa
MHL
15.09.25	Tolpar - Stalnye Lisy	2:3 ✺
11.09.25	Tolpar - Chaika	2:3 ✺
10.09.25	Tolpar - Chaika	5:2 ✺
07.09.25	Tolpar - Irbis Kazan	5:6 penalties ✺
06.09.25	Tolpar - Irbis Kazan	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Junior Club World Cup Ice Hockey
22.08.14	Tolpar - Dinamo-Shinnik	0:2

Upcoming Matches