Match Info
MHLDate: 7 September 2025, Sunday
|
 |
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 |
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Tolpar |
|
Irbis Kazan |
|
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.9 |
4.42 |
3.16 |
|
 |
1.84 |
4.69 |
3.26 |
 Watch |
 |
2.38 |
4.2 |
2.38 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.33) |
4.44 ↓
(4.6) |
2.93 ↑
(2.33) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tolpar
46.4% | Draw
21.3% | Irbis Kazan
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tolpar's performance.Irbis Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Irbis Kazan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tolpar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irbis Kazan than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Irbis Kazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Tolpar - Irbis Kazan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
|---|
99.  Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)
| 72. Konovalov M. (G)
|
16. Khusainov R.
| 57. Aibatov D.
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23. Khafzetdinov A. (A)
| 81. Fazlov M. (C)
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97. Faizov A. (A)
| 11. Gimayev S.
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92. Ilyichyov M.
| 37.  Kolomytsev I.
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28. Akhsyanov B.
| 97. Buzayev K.
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| Line 2 |
|---|
36. Gunkin Y.
| 16. Istomin D.
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98. Zayets D.
| 91. Dulnev A.
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11. Shaykhlislamov A.
| 10. Gayev V. (A)
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37. Zagrebin M. (C)
| 15. Kamalov A.
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67. Khabibullin A.
| 94. Sakhapov T. (A)
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| Line 3 |
|---|
24. Karasyov M.
| 89. Lazarev D.
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86. Volkov D.
| 64. Nikitin K.
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18. Kireyev R.
| 17. Kalimullin A.
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87. Buzdyganov V.
| 63. Gatiyatulin A.
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74. Adamyan A.
| 84. Ovchinnikov A.
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| Line 4 |
|---|
58. Plotnikov D.
| 4. Khatibullin S.
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78.  Zhuk A.
| 77. Gainullin I.
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26. Degtyarev M.
| 76. Abdukadyrov S.
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75. Shebyakin M.
| 92. Bokarev I.
|
| 13. Gorodilov R.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
13. Korenev D.
| 1. Grigoryev G. (G)
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30. Povarov M. (G)
| |
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (2 - 2)
- 00:15, 1 - 0, Faizov A. (G), Khusainov R. (A), Akhsyanov B. (A2)
- 02:47, 2 - 0, Khusainov R. (G),
- 04:06, 2 - 1, Gimayev S. (G), Buzayev K. (A),
- 13:01, 2 - 2, Kalimullin A. (G), Gayev V. (A), Buzayev K. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 2)
- 09:47, 2 - 3, Kalimullin A. (G), Kolomytsev I. (A),
- 12:43, 3 - 3, Akhsyanov B. (G), Faizov A. (A),
- 13:40, 4 - 3, Shaykhlislamov A. (G), Kireyev R. (A), Khafzetdinov A. (A2)
- 16:52, 4 - 4, Sakhapov T. (G), Gayev V. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 02:33, 5 - 4, Ilyichyov M. (G), Akhsyanov B. (A), Faizov A. (A2)
- 12:09, 5 - 5, Sakhapov T. (G), Fazlov M. (A),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (1 - 2)
- 1, Buzayev K. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Adamyan A. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Sakhapov T. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Ilyichyov M. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Kolomytsev I. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Buzdyganov V. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 3.In recent matches, Tolpar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Irbis is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Tolpar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 52:64. (average 2.6:3.2).Including home matches between the teams, Tolpar won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 3:2.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Irbis Kazan - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.9%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MHL | | | 06.09.25 | Tolpar - Irbis Kazan | 3:4 | | Club Friendly Ice Hockey | | | 14.08.25 | Irbis Kazan - Tolpar | 4:6 | | MHL | | | 28.12.24 | Tolpar - Irbis Kazan | 4:1 | | 09.12.24 | Irbis Kazan - Tolpar | 4:3 OT | | 29.12.23 | Tolpar - Irbis Kazan | 5:4 OT | | 28.12.23 | Tolpar - Irbis Kazan | 1:2 penalties | | 01.11.23 | Irbis Kazan - Tolpar | 2:1 |
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✺ - difficult match;
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