Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday


	Tolpar		Stalnye Lisy

	1	X	2
	2.79	4.10	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.23)	4.1 ↓ (4.4)	2.02 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tolpar
32.7%

Draw
22.2%

Stalnye Lisy
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

21%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

22.8%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tolpar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tolpar's form might have worsened.

Stalnye Lisy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stalnye Lisy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tolpar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stalnye Lisy than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stalnye Lisy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tolpar - Stalnye Lisy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
18:44, 1 - 0, Degtyarev M. (G), Karpov A. (A), Karasyov M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
12:41, 1 - 1, Chernev T. (G), Mukhotyanov E. (A), Zhulin Y. (A2)
15:45, 1 - 2, (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Tolpar has had a series of away games.

Recently, Stalnye Lisy has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 64:65. (average 3.2:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tolpar won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 43:40. (average 3.6:3.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Tolpar - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.5%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Stalnye Lisy - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.47%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tolpar Ufa
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
17.08.26	Mamonty Yugry - Tolpar	3:0 ✺
16.08.26	Molot Perm - Tolpar	3:4 AET ✺
15.08.26	Stalnye Lisy - Tolpar	2:3 ✺
07.08.26	Reaktor - Tolpar	4:0 ✺
06.08.26	Reaktor - Tolpar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWLL
- Stalnye Lisy
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
17.08.26	Stalnye Lisy - Molot Perm	5:1 ✺
16.08.26	Stalnye Lisy - Mamonty Yugry	5:3 ✺
15.08.26	Stalnye Lisy - Tolpar	2:3 ✺
07.08.26	Stalnye Lisy - Krylya Sovetov	5:4 penalties ✺
06.08.26	Tayfun - Stalnye Lisy	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
15.08.26	Stalnye Lisy - Tolpar	2:3
MHL
02.02.26	Stalnye Lisy - Tolpar	5:4
24.12.25	Tolpar - Stalnye Lisy	4:5 penalties
16.12.25	Stalnye Lisy - Tolpar	2:3
15.09.25	Tolpar - Stalnye Lisy	2:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.25	Tolpar - Stalnye Lisy	5:4 penalties
MHL
25.02.25	Stalnye Lisy - Tolpar	2:1

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