The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tolpar 29.1%
Draw 22%
Stalnye Lisy 48.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39%
22%
39%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
23.6%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tolpar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tolpar's form might have worsened.
Stalnye Lisy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stalnye Lisy's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tolpar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stalnye Lisy than the current prediction. (-14.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stalnye Lisy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tolpar - Stalnye Lisy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Povarov M. (G)
40. Gayanov I. (G)
36. Shaibakov E.
59. Kuznetsov A.
98. Zayets D. (C)
81. Rubin A.
72. Sergeyev F.
86. Kurichev N. (A)
87. Buzdyganov V.
34. Sysoyev D. (A)
8. Ranert A.
63. Vokhmyanin A. (C)
Line 2
62. Konovalov D.
58. Shchapov N.
24. Karasyov M.
90. Kachyov V.
91. Shaikhlislamov A. (A)
19. Giniyatullin R.
71. Makarov N. D.
78. Shumilin I.
18. Panov K.
8. Shulekin M.
Line 3
5. Belevtsev M.
48. Dmitrij Semenenok
22. Plotnikov D.
22. Chernev T.
19. Bazanov I.
16. Mukhotyanov E.
28. Krasnik A.
91. Maier V.
75. Shebyakin M. (A)
55. Afonin M.
Line 4
44. Khafizov A.
13. Gushchin M.
17. Zhuk A.
28. Makhmutov I.
78. Shermakov A.
44. Shcherbinin D.
21. Bashirov R.
29. Zhulin Y.
14. Akhmetov Y.
9. Yashnikov M.
Substitutes
94. Tkachyov K. (G)
31. Rutsky M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
10:14, 1 - 0, Bazanov I. (G), Shebyakin M. (A),
18:12, 1 - 1, Mukhotyanov E. (G), Maier V. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, Shaikhlislamov A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Sysoyev D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Sergeyev F. (Penalty Shot),
2, Maier V. (Penalty Shot),
3, Shebyakin M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Mukhotyanov E. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 2.
Tolpar has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Stalnye Lisy is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Stalnye Lisy could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Stalnye Lisy is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tolpar has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 63:63 (averaging 3.2:3.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tolpar against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 42:38 goals (averaging 3.5:3.2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Tolpar - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39%, but this team recently wins 28% of matches with these odds.
Stalnye Lisy - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Povarov M. (G) 
Dmitrij Semenenok 
Krasnik A. 
Rutsky M. (G) 
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