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Current Win Probability
Dinamo St. Petersburg 40.1%
Draw 23.7%
Chelmet 36.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.5%
23.1%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
25.4%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dinamo St. Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Dinamo St. Petersburg - Chelmet Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Dinamo SP will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
74. Podsukha I. (G)
93. Mosharov D. (G)
79. Gusev M. M.
81. Isakov Y.
19. Shepelev A.
5. Borodkin A. (A)
88. Ogirchuk D.
36. Kisakov A.
58. Ilyin D. (A)
73. Mits Z.
95. Savinov S.
29. Mokin M. (C)
Line 2
26. Salakhov M. (A)
28. Potapov F.
67. Sarayev V.
18. Mikanovich D.
89. Ushakov Y.
97. Matyushin A.
9. Davydov D.
46. Shaveko V. (A)
57. Golikov M.
37. Udot A.
Line 3
38. Berdyukov G. (C)
80. Semenikhin M.
70. Rodionov Y.
21. Pronichkin A.
22. Anokhovsky N.
50. Yekimov N.
12. Rasskazov K.
57. Telegin N.
43. Kalinin M.
67. Shchekoldin K.
Line 4
91. Savushkin K.
86. Sivirchukov V.
96. Zinchenko I.
34. Gusmanov F.
90. Kozlov I.
90. Golovnyov Y.
99. Boikov L.
98. Kolodiy L.
Substitutes
7. Arkhipov I.
87. Anufriyenko N.
73. Nazarov Y. (G)
30. Utenkov D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
16:13, 0 - 1, Matyushin A. (G), Potapov F. (A),
19:05, 1 - 1, Gusev M. M. (G), Ilyin D. (A), Savinov S. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
06:36, 2 - 1, Anokhovsky N. (G), Ogirchuk D. (A), Davydov D. (A2)
11:51, 2 - 2, Yekimov N. (G), Shchekoldin K. (A), Telegin N. (A2)
15:54, 2 - 3, Telegin N. (G), Mokin M. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
01:25, 3 - 3, Golikov M. (G), Kozlov I. (A), Berdyukov G. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Kisakov A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Kalinin M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Telegin N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Davydov D. (Penalty Shot),
3, Golovnyov Y. (Penalty Shot),
3, Gusev M. M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Mokin M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Golikov M. (Penalty Shot),
5, Matyushin A. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo SP won 2.
Dinamo SP has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Chelmet is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Chelmet could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Chelmet has had a run of games away from home.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Chelmet holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo SP has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:51 (averaging 2.8:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dinamo SP against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 21:24 goals (averaging 2.3:2.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
17
Dinamo St. Petersburg
13
5
1
1
6
37:42
13
27
Chelmet Chelyabinsk
10
2
1
2
5
20:36
8
Last Results with these Odds
Dinamo St. Petersburg - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.53%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Chelmet - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.4%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.