Match Info

VHL

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Ice Palace (Saint Petersburg)


	SKA-VMF		Chelmet

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.62	3.38
	1.72	3.5	3.3
	1.92	4.25	3.18	Watch
	1.85	4.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.01)	3.87 ↓ (4.05)	3.29 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA-VMF
49.5%

Draw
23.2%

Chelmet
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

23.2%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

24.5%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA-VMF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Chelmet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SKA-VMF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

SKA VMF - Chelmet Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. SKA-VMF will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
87. Popov D. (G)	60. Sherstnev S. (G)
57. Sevostyanov A.	18. Mikanovich D.
85. Zhuravlev Y.	21. Pronichkin A.
22. Sorokin Y.	34. Gusmanov F.
15. Busarov G. (C)	57. Telegin N.
10. Popov D.	29. Mokin M. (C)
Line 2
80. Gryaznov G. (A)	77. Rodionov M.
8. Barantsev D.	80. Semenikhin M.
89. Surayev N.	37. Udot A.
47. Nedopyokin N.	90. Golovnyov Y.
91. Lutfullin I.	97. Matyushin A.
Line 3
5. Yarullin A.	5. Borodkin A. (A)
6. Lukichyov A.	81. Isakov Y.
38. Gurzanov Y.	46. Shaveko V. (A)
32. Barabanov V.	73. Mits Z.
18. Slivchenko M.	36. Kisakov A.
Line 4
54. Gorokhov S.	86. Civirchukov
88. Kapchuk S.	67. Shchekoldin K.
17. Kabush M. (A)	44. Kozhevnikov R.
97. Nugmanov A.	41. Eust V.
	98. Kolodiy L.
Substitutes
93. Filippov A.	93. Mosharov D. (G)
73. Podlyagin N. (G)
31. Saranchuk G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (3 - 2)
08:11, 0 - 1, Shaveko V. (G), Mits Z. (A), Mikanovich D. (A2)
08:49, 0 - 2, Mokin M. (G), Udot A. (A),
10:16, 1 - 2, Gurzanov Y. (G), Barabanov V. (A), Barantsev D. (A2)
11:36, 2 - 2, Popov D. (G), Surayev N. (A), Sevostyanov A. (A2)
14:58, 3 - 2, Kabush M. (G), Nedopyokin N. (A), Nugmanov A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 0.

In recent outings, SKA-VMF has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Chelmet is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Chelmet could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Chelmet has had a run of games away from home.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with SKA-VMF holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, SKA-VMF has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 57:50 (averaging 2.9:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for SKA-VMF against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 28:25 goals (averaging 3.1:2.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
14	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	11	5	2	0	4	27:21	14
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	10	2	1	2	5	20:36	8

Last Results with these Odds

SKA-VMF - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.72%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Chelmet - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 30.1%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
16.09.26	SKA-VMF - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:1 penalties ✺
14.09.26	SKA-VMF - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:3 ✺
09.09.26	Molot Perm - SKA-VMF	3:2 ✺
07.09.26	Toros Neftekamsk - SKA-VMF	5:3 ✺
05.09.26	Izhstal - SKA-VMF	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLLW
- HC Chelmet
VHL
10.09.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Chelmet	5:0 ✺
08.09.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Chelmet	5:0 ✺
06.09.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Chelmet	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	Rubin Tyumen - Chelmet	3:2 AET ✺
26.08.26	Chelmet - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
07.02.26	Chelmet - SKA-VMF	3:2
11.10.25	SKA-VMF - Chelmet	3:4
08.02.25	Chelmet - SKA-VMF	2:1 OT
15.10.24	SKA-VMF - Chelmet	0:2
12.01.24	Chelmet - SKA-VMF	3:1
09.10.23	SKA-VMF - Chelmet	6:4
03.02.23	SKA-VMF - Chelmet	1:4

SKA-VMF - Chelmet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide