Match Info

VHL

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Sportova Akademia Avangard (Omsk)


	Omskie Krylia		Molot Perm

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.92	4.92	Watch
	1.69	3.95	3.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.84)	4.44 ↑ (4.15)	4.31 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omskie Krylia
57.7%

Draw
20.8%

Molot Perm
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

22.6%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

22.1%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omskie Krylia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Omskie Krylia's performance.

Molot Perm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omskie Krylia than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Omskie Krylia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Omskie Krylia - Molot Perm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
94. Yaroslavlev Y. (G)	40. Gorshkov Y. (G)
38. Berdyukov G. (C)	42. Labutkin Y.
42. Petrishchev R. (A)	44. Yerokhin A. (C)
93. Malov V.	15. Zenchikov I.
78. Leuka P.	61. Polyakov V.
88. Stepanov Y.	51. Kitsyn M. (A)
Line 2
57. Pavlikov M.	9. Pirogov I.
5. Chaika D.	83. Basistyj K.
11. Anokhovsky N.	34. Mikhasyonok V.
47. Loktev A. (A)	10. Plastinin V. (A)
86. Kozhukhov Y.	92. Kazakov M.
Line 3
76. Stepanov D.	86. Zaitsev D.
75. Yegorov A.	55. Kozhevnikov A.
27. Shevchenko A.	72. Arzhanov D.
91. Protapovich A.	71. Kolesnikov Y.
66. Andreyev S.	81. Galimzyanov R.
Line 4
29. Denisov P.	59. Sokolov N.
44. Kozhevnikov K.	11. Lapin D.
25. Zlodeyev D.	17. Yarashev A.
8. Nikolenko L.	8. Galiaskarov E.
Substitutes
79. Kiselyov Y. (G)	74. Meshkovsky G. (G)
77. Zaikin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
07:13, 1 - 0, Leuka P. (G), Berdyukov G. (A), Malov V. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
03:28, 2 - 0, Nikolenko L. (G), Zlodeyev D. (A),
08:03, 3 - 0, Loktev A. (G), Kozhukhov Y. (A), Chaika D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
03:07, 4 - 0, Leuka P. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Omskie Krylia won 2.

Omskie Krylia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Molot has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Molot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Omskie Krylia has had a series of away games.

In this match, Omskie Krylia is a strong favorite.

We predict that Omskie Krylia will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Omskie Krylia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:37. (average 2.9:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Omskie Krylia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 2.5:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Omskie Krylia - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 51.01%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omskie Krylia
VHL
19.11.25	Omskie Krylia - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Omskie Krylia	1:2 OT ✺
11.11.25	Chelmet - Omskie Krylia	6:0 ✺
09.11.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Omskie Krylia	1:2 OT ✺
07.11.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Omskie Krylia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW
- HC Molot Perm
VHL
19.11.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Molot Perm	3:2 ✺
17.11.25	Rubin Tyumen - Molot Perm	3:2 penalties ✺
15.11.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Molot Perm	3:0 ✺
10.11.25	Molot Perm - Buran Voronezh	3:2 penalties ✺
08.11.25	Molot Perm - Rostov	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
04.03.25	Molot Perm - Omskie Krylia	2:6
18.09.24	Omskie Krylia - Molot Perm	3:1
13.12.23	Omskie Krylia - Molot Perm	1:6
03.11.23	Molot Perm - Omskie Krylia	5:4
21.12.22	Molot Perm - Omskie Krylia	3:2
26.10.22	Omskie Krylia - Molot Perm	6:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
16.08.22	Molot Perm - Omskie Krylia	4:5

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