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Current Win Probability
Dynamo-Altay 25.6%
Draw 23.5%
CSK VVS Samara 50.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.1%
23.7%
42.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
22.9%
43.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo-Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dynamo-Altay's form might have worsened.
CSK VVS Samara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CSK VVS Samara's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo-Altay than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo-Altay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSK VVS Samara than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CSK VVS Samara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dynamo Altay - CSK VVS Samara Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
34. Nefyodov B. (G)
88. Ustimenko K. (G)
54. Sinitsky I.
8. Gorbunov K.
5. Sorokin A.
89. Karpov A.
26. Shumilov K.
13. Demchenko V.
19. Komarov V.
11. Mustafin R. (A)
46. Butuzov V.
94. Anop D. (A)
Line 2
75. Bugayev Y.
18. Safonov I. (C)
24. Maslov K.
96. Ganabin Y.
95. Zhirnov P.
23. Chervonenko V.
27. Nichukhrin D.
32. Barabanov V.
36. Nevolin M.
52. Grishakov A.
Line 3
91. Sukhochev R.
44. Istyufeyev D.
44. Lukin A.
61. Vafin K.
88. Sato Y.
22. Kuznetsov A.
13. Koksharov A.
15. Krikunenko R.
72. Bulavchuk O.
25. Petrov G.
Line 4
77. Kulikovskiy A.
7. Teterin O.
92. Reshetko M.
87. Borodin D.
55. Vilkov A.
16. Ivanov D.
11. Zykov Y.
33. Aliyev R.
Substitutes
40. Vypritsky B. (G)
71. Popov D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
05:27, 0 - 1, Kuznetsov A. (G), Barabanov V. (A), Petrov G. (A2)
16:12, 0 - 2, Ivanov D. (G), Ganabin Y. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 3)
06:22, 0 - 3, Petrov G. (G), Grishakov A. (A),
10:58, 0 - 4, Aliyev R. (G), Gorbunov K. (A), Borodin D. (A2)
19:55, 0 - 5, Chervonenko V. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
06:02, 0 - 6, Krikunenko R. (G), Grishakov A. (A), Chervonenko V. (A2)
07:57, 1 - 6, Shumilov K. (G), Lukin A. (A), Butuzov V. (A2)
10:37, 1 - 7, Kuznetsov A. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo-Altay won 2.
Dynamo-Altay is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
CSK VVS's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Dynamo-Altay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
CSK VVS is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dynamo-Altay won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 46:65. (average 2.3:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo-Altay won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 3.1:3.4).
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Nefyodov B. (G) 
Demchenko V. 
Sato Y. 
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