Match Info

VHL

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Dizel Penza		Dynamo-Altay

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.63	3.62
	1.66	3.55	3.5
	1.92	4.04	3.33	Watch
	1.81	4	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.1)	3.81 ↓ (3.88)	3.48 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dizel Penza
50.6%

Draw
23.6%

Dynamo-Altay
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

24.1%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

25.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dizel Penza's performance.

Dynamo-Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dynamo-Altay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dizel Penza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo-Altay than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo-Altay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dizel Penza - Dynamo Altay Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dizel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
52. Dagestansky D. (G)	30. Dianov N. (G)
9. Balanov Y.	5. Sorokin A.
75. Pogorishny O.	14. Nurgaliyev E.
81. Mayorov N.	9. Kruzhenkov Y.
13. Svishchyov K.	13. Ugolnikov A.
69. Boluchevsky A.	10. Tkachenko P.
Line 2
25. Rudakov G.	3. Yepishin M.
83. Sukhov S.	44. Yerokhin A.
22. Bain M.	23. Ovchinnikov G.
47. Bobylyov V.	66. Andreyev S.
97. Borisenkov A.	36. Nevolin M.
Line 3
59. Nikitin Y.	6. Gromov N.
24. Pelevin A.	75. Bugayev Y.
70. Gazizov R.	47. Nizovtsev S.
87. Mingaleyev D.	19. Kozlov G.
33. Mukhanov T.	26. Shumilov K.
Line 4
96. Dryagilev A.	91. Sukhochev R.
5. Gafarov G.	25. Rakhcheyev I.
23. Chesnokov G.	87. Afanasyev N.
84. Utkin M.	11. Zykov Y.
91. Opolinsky M.
Substitutes
27. Arzamastsev A. (G)	90. Gabdrakhmanov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
04:49, 0 - 1, Kruzhenkov Y. (G), Yepishin M. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
01:52, 1 - 1, Gazizov R. (G), Mukhanov T. (A), Nikitin Y. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
10:21, 2 - 1, Svishchyov K. (G), Bobylyov V. (A), Borisenkov A. (A2)
18:17, 3 - 1, Mukhanov T. (G), Gazizov R. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 1.

In recent outings, Dizel has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Dynamo-Altay has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Dizel may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Dizel is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Dizel in today's match, at odds of 1.8.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Dizel has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:18 (averaging 1.8:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dizel against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:10 goals (averaging 3:3.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
16	Dizel	11	3	2	2	4	24:24	12
17	Dyn. Altay	11	5	0	2	4	24:26	12

Last Results with these Odds

Dizel Penza - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.62%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Dynamo-Altay - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.23%, but this team recently wins 24% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dizel Penza
VHL
03.10.26	Dizel Penza - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Dizel Penza - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Dizel Penza - Norilsk	5:0 ✺
25.09.26	Kaluga - Dizel Penza	2:3 penalties ✺
23.09.26	AKM - Dizel Penza	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWL
- Dynamo-Altay Barnaul
VHL
03.10.26	Tambov - Dynamo-Altay	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Buran Voronezh - Dynamo-Altay	4:2 ✺
27.09.26	Dynamo-Altay - Omskie Krylia	1:5 ✺
25.09.26	Dynamo-Altay - Zauralie Kurgan	2:3 OT ✺
23.09.26	Dynamo-Altay - Rubin Tyumen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
09.01.26	Dynamo-Altay - Dizel Penza	3:1
13.11.25	Dizel Penza - Dynamo-Altay	3:2 penalties
27.02.25	Dynamo-Altay - Dizel Penza	3:0
25.09.24	Dizel Penza - Dynamo-Altay	2:3 penalties
15.12.23	Dizel Penza - Dynamo-Altay	4:5 OT
28.10.23	Dynamo-Altay - Dizel Penza	2:1

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