Match Info

VHL

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Ledovaya Arena A. Kozitsyna (Verkhnyaya Pyshma)


	Gornyak-UGMK		Dynamo-Altay

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.22	5.64
	1.37	5.56	6.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.67)	5.39 ↑ (4.45)	6.01 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gornyak-UGMK
67.2%

Draw
17.3%

Dynamo-Altay
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

21.1%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

20.6%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gornyak-UGMK's performance.

Dynamo-Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dynamo-Altay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gornyak-UGMK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo-Altay than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo-Altay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gornyak UGMK - Dynamo Altay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Novosyolov N. (G)	34. Nefyodov B. (G)
91. Malorosiyanov D.	5. Sorokin A.
72. Trofimov Y.	54. Sinitsky I.
7. Gordin A.	88. Sato Y.
13. Zaytsev O. (C)	27. Nichukhrin D.
59. Razdyakonov V.	36. Nevolin M.
Line 2
23. Gamzakov M.	7. Putintsev V.
4. Bolshakov M.	75. Bugayev Y.
56. Ovchinnikov I.	92. Reshetko M.
14. Makhrin M.	29. Barsukov T.
44. Lukhovskoy N.	11. Zykov Y.
Line 3
26. Ishimnikov N.	52. Smirnov Y.
90. Nekrasov N.	91. Sukhochev R.
32. Borisov S.	26. Shumilov K.
29. Khremkin K.	45. Parkhomenko K.
76. Kashtanov A.	95. Zhirnov P.
Line 4
95. Dumchenko N.	28. Krikunov V.
22. Molodtsov D.	55. Vilkov A.
96. Miller N.	17. Kogalev A.
10. Filyayev V.	25. Klimovich Y.
80. Demidovich V.
Substitutes
20. Obvintsev T. (G)	30. Dianov N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
02:54, 1 - 0, Molodtsov D. (G), Filyayev V. (A), Miller N. (A2)
03:27, 2 - 0, Zaytsev O. (G), Gordin A. (A),
06:49, 2 - 1, Nevolin M. (G), Sato Y. (A), Sukhochev R. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
10:01, 2 - 2, Sorokin A. (G),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Nevolin M. (Penalty Shot),
1, Lukhovskoy N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Vilkov A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Razdyakonov V. (Penalty Shot),
3, Smirnov Y. (Penalty Shot),
3, Kashtanov A. (Penalty Shot),
4, Shumilov K. (Penalty Shot),
4, Makhrin M. (Penalty Shot),
5, Zykov Y. (Penalty Shot),
5, Zaytsev O. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Gornyak-UGMK has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dynamo-Altay has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Gornyak-UGMK will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 2.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Dynamo-Altay - the odds 4.11 are the expected chance of winning is 22.81%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
22.10.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:5 ✺
20.10.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:4 ✺
18.10.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Norilsk	4:1 ✺
13.10.25	SKA-VMF - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 OT ✺
11.10.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Gornyak-UGMK	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWWW
- Dynamo-Altay Barnaul
VHL
22.10.25	Chelmet - Dynamo-Altay	1:2 penalties ✺
20.10.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Dynamo-Altay	6:2 ✺
18.10.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Dynamo-Altay	3:2 ✺
13.10.25	Dynamo-Altay - Torpedo-Gorky	0:3 ✺
11.10.25	Dynamo-Altay - Khimik	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
14.03.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Dynamo-Altay	3:0
17.09.24	Dynamo-Altay - Gornyak-UGMK	1:4
18.01.24	Dynamo-Altay - Gornyak-UGMK	0:1
28.09.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Dynamo-Altay	4:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
07.08.23	Dynamo-Altay - Gornyak-UGMK	4:2

Gornyak-UGMK - Dynamo-Altay: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide