Match Info

Date: 4 October 2020, Sunday


	Dynamo MO		Dizel Penza

	1	X	2
	2.6	4.35	2.05
	2.75	4.33	2.1
	2.8	4.1	2
	2.7	4	2.03
	2.86	4.2	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.72)	4.2 ↑ (4.17)	2.06 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo MO
33.5%

Draw
21.9%

Dizel Penza
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

22%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

17.2%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo MO has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo MO than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dynamo MO that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dizel Penza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dynamo MO - Dizel Penza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Recent matches Dynamo MO is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dizel is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Dizel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dizel will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dynamo MO won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Dynamo MO won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo MO
VHL
01.10.20	Dynamo MO - Lada Togliatti	6:5 penalties ✺
29.09.20	Dynamo MO - CSK VVS Samara	2:0 ✺
23.09.20	Toros Neftekamsk - Dynamo MO	7:2 ✺
21.09.20	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Dynamo MO	6:2 ✺
19.09.20	Izhstal - Dynamo MO	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLLW
- Dizel Penza
VHL
24.09.20	Dizel Penza - Gornyak-UGMK	2:0 ✺
22.09.20	Dizel Penza - Zauralie Kurgan	4:3 penalties ✺
20.09.20	Dizel Penza - Chelmet	2:1 ✺
16.09.20	Rostov - Dizel Penza	2:3 ✺
14.09.20	Buran Voronezh - Dizel Penza	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
31.01.20	Dynamo MO - Dizel Penza	5:1
18.10.19	Dizel Penza - Dynamo MO	5:2

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