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Current Win Probability
EC KAC 63.3%
Draw 18.3%
Graz 99ers 18.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.7%
21.9%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
23.1%
39.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EC KAC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EC KAC's performance.
Graz 99ers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Graz 99ers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC KAC than the current prediction. (-25.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with EC KAC that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Graz 99ers than the current prediction. (+20.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Graz 99ers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
EC KAC - Graz 99ers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
33. Vorauer F. (G)
29. Grascher P. (G)
28. Goransson M.
3. Hora F.
41. Jensen J. (A)
8. Holm O.
94. Drozg J.
55. Swaney N.
74. St. Denis T.
64. Currie J. (C)
8. Petersen N.
52. Huber P.
Line 2
82. Nickl T.
82. Reiner P.
92. Unterweger C. (A)
18. Stapelfeldt P.
90. Fraser M.
74. Feldner N.
27. Hundertpfund T. (C)
22. Conley K.
89. Herburger R.
17. Ganahl M. (A)
Line 3
64. Preiml M.
58. Hanus C.
3. MacKinnon W.
27. Gruber J.
81. van Ee F.
15. Braun L.
98. Obersteiner D.
28. Moosbrugger L.
6. Sablattnig T.
70. Lippitsch J.
Line 4
51. Bohs G.
89. Krainz C.
39. Simovic F.
13. Schiechl M. (A)
45. Ofner B.
77. Gadzhiev S.
19. Waschnig D.
21. Micelli N.
Substitutes
31. Muller P. (G)
34. Striedinger A. (G)
Coaches
. Furey K.
. Lacroix D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
00:34, 0 - 1, Stapelfeldt P. (G), Feldner N. (A), Conley K. (A2)
08:55, 1 - 1, Petersen N. (G), Goransson M. (A), Unterweger C. (A2)
13:58, 2 - 1, Goransson M. (G), Unterweger C. (A), Obersteiner D. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 1)
00:28, 3 - 1, St. Denis T. (G), Petersen N. (A), Drozg J. (A2)
04:01, 4 - 1, Herburger R. (G), Fraser M. (A), Hundertpfund T. (A2)
06:33, 5 - 1, Petersen N. (G), Unterweger C. (A),
08:00, 5 - 2, Currie J. (G),
15:41, 6 - 2, MacKinnon W. (G), Hundertpfund T. (A), Herburger R. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EC KAC won 2.
EC KAC is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Graz has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
EC KAC may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to EC KAC for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, EC KAC has recorded 11 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 52:44 (averaging 2.6:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for EC KAC against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 26:22 goals (averaging 2.6:2.2 per game).
Watch
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Vorauer F. (G) 
Goransson M. 
Hora F. 
Jensen J. (A) 
Holm O. 
Drozg J. 
St. Denis T. 
Gadzhiev S. 
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