Match Info

ICE Hockey League - Round 4

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Hala Tivoli (Ljubljana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Sport TV1


	Olimpija Ljubljana		EC KAC

	1	X	2
	2.25	4.30	2.40
	2.30	4.40	2.40
	2.33	4.40	2.32
	2.26	4.11	2.59
	2.15	4.59	2.59	Watch
	2.20	4.05	2.55
	2.18	4.05	2.55
	2.21	4.20	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.5)	4.26 ↓ (4.5)	2.49 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Olimpija Ljubljana
41.3%

Draw
21.6%

EC KAC
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

20.4%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

21.4%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpija Ljubljana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

EC KAC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EC KAC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpija Ljubljana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC KAC than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EC KAC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Olimpija Ljubljana - EC KAC Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. EC KAC will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. EC KAC (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
61. Horak L. (G)	32. Dahm S. (G)
43. Brennan T. (A)	82. Nickl T.
74. Halbert N.	92. Unterweger C. (A)
8. Mahkovec M.	94. Drozg J.
14. Jeglic Z. (A)	9. Mursak J.
9. Urbas J. (C)	8. Petersen N.
Line 2
86. Bohinc R.	28. Goransson M.
4. McNeill R.	41. Jensen J. (A)
92. Lawrence J.	98. Obersteiner D.
11. Quince M.	74. St. Denis T.
12. Simsic N.	90. Fraser M.
Line 3
21. Bukovec M.	64. Preiml M.
44. Crnovic A.	3. MacKinnon W.
68. Gomboc L.	16. Schwinger S.
89. Boychuk Z.	27. Hundertpfund T. (C)
93. Meyer N.	89. Herburger R.
Line 4
71. Mehle Z.	45. Ofner B.
10. Bericic M.	39. Simovic F.
23. Sodja J.	19. Waschnig D.
	81. van Ee F.
	6. Sablattnig T.
Substitutes
33. Us Z. (G)	33. Vorauer F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
16:36, 1 - 0, Urbas J. (G), Mahkovec M. (A), Jeglic Z. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 4)
00:44, 1 - 1, Hundertpfund T. (G), Goransson M. (A), Herburger R. (A2)
00:58, 1 - 2, Mursak J. (G), Petersen N. (A),
04:27, 1 - 3, Petersen N. (G), Unterweger C. (A), Mursak J. (A2)
06:12, 2 - 3, Urbas J. (G), Brennan T. (A),
11:24, 2 - 4, Schwinger S. (G), Petersen N. (A), Drozg J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
01:28, 2 - 5, MacKinnon W. (G), Unterweger C. (A),
14:28, 3 - 5, Lawrence J. (G), Quince M. (A),
15:39, 3 - 6, Hundertpfund T. (G), Herburger R. (A), Waschnig D. (A2)
16:08, 3 - 7, Mursak J. (G), Drozg J. (A), Petersen N. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpija won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Olimpija may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Olimpija has faced a series of away games on the road.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Olimpija has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 44:79 (averaging 2.2:4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Olimpija against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 28:43 goals (averaging 2.8:4.3 per game).

Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now

Klagenfurt: 17.24% HK Olimpija: 4.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Klagenfurt	9	5	1	0	3	37:27	17
5	HK Olimpija	8	4	1	0	3	37:25	14

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpija Ljubljana - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.79%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

EC KAC - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.78%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Olimpija Ljubljana
Austrian Ice Hockey League
23.09.26	Black Wings Linz - Olimpija Ljubljana	4:3 ✺
19.09.26	Fehérvár AV 19 - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:6 ✺
18.09.26	Ferencvárosi - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:5 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
12.09.26	Esbjerg Energy - Olimpija Ljubljana	6:2 ✺
11.09.26	Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLL
- EC KAC
Austrian Ice Hockey League
23.09.26	EC KAC - Villacher	6:1 ✺
20.09.26	EC KAC - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	3:2 ✺
18.09.26	Red Bull Salzburg - EC KAC	1:7 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
12.09.26	Kölner Haie - EC KAC	3:1 ✺
10.09.26	Storhamar Dragons - EC KAC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
21.08.26	EC KAC - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:2
Austrian Ice Hockey League
20.02.26	EC KAC - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:0
30.12.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - EC KAC	3:2
16.11.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - EC KAC	2:5
26.10.25	EC KAC - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:4 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
15.08.25	EC KAC - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:0
Austrian Ice Hockey League
22.01.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - EC KAC	3:6

Upcoming Matches