Match Info

Date: 22 February 2022, Tuesday


	EC KAC		Orli Znojmo

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.65	3.3
	1.78	4.5	3.4	Watch
	1.76	4.4	3.3
	1.82	4.7	3.5
	1.81	4.64	3.38
	1.75	4.6	3.3
	1.81	4.5	3.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.8)	4.57 ↑ (4.54)	3.38 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC KAC
52.1%

Draw
20.3%

Orli Znojmo
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

20.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

14.9%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC KAC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Orli Znojmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC KAC than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with EC KAC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orli Znojmo than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orli Znojmo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

EC KAC - Orli Znojmo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. EC KAC will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Znojmo will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for EC KAC: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches EC KAC won 2.

EC KAC is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Orli Znojmo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

EC KAC will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 44 head-to-head matches EC KAC won 30 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 137-118.

Including matches at home between the teams EC KAC won 16 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 65-41.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC KAC
Austrian Ice Hockey League
20.02.22	Bolzano - EC KAC	3:2 ✺
18.02.22	EC KAC - Fehérvár AV 19	0:7 ✺
15.02.22	Olimpija Ljubljana - EC KAC	1:0 ✺
13.02.22	EC KAC - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	4:5 ✺
11.02.22	EC KAC - Bolzano	Klagenfurt awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLL?
- Orli Znojmo
Austrian Ice Hockey League
20.02.22	Olimpija Ljubljana - Orli Znojmo	0:8 ✺
18.02.22	Orli Znojmo - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	3:4 penalties ✺
15.02.22	Black Wings Linz - Orli Znojmo	1:3 ✺
13.02.22	Orli Znojmo - Villacher	3:4 ✺
11.02.22	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Orli Znojmo	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
05.12.21	Orli Znojmo - EC KAC	3:2 penalties
21.11.21	EC KAC - Orli Znojmo	2:0
24.09.21	Orli Znojmo - EC KAC	6:0
12.01.20	EC KAC - Orli Znojmo	4:0
20.12.19	Orli Znojmo - EC KAC	6:5
25.10.19	EC KAC - Orli Znojmo	4:3
04.10.19	Orli Znojmo - EC KAC	3:4 penalties

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