Match Info

Date: 13 February 2022, Sunday


	Orli Znojmo		Villacher

	1	X	2
	1.86	4.75	2.9
	1.87	5	2.9	Watch
	1.75	5.1	3
	1.89	5.2	3.05
	1.89	5.61	2.79
	1.85	5	3
	1.88	4.65	3.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.12)	5.04 ↑ (4.44)	2.97 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orli Znojmo
50.2%

Draw
18.5%

Villacher
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

21.2%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

16.1%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orli Znojmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orli Znojmo's performance.

Villacher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orli Znojmo than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orli Znojmo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villacher than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villacher could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Orli Znojmo - Villacher Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Postponed due to Covid-19.

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches Orli Znojmo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Villach is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Orli Znojmo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Orli Znojmo have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 47 head-to-head matches Orli Znojmo won 23 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 23 matches and goals 147-139.

Including matches at home between the teams Orli Znojmo won 16 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 89-55.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orli Znojmo
Austrian Ice Hockey League
11.02.22	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Orli Znojmo	6:1 ✺
07.02.22	Orli Znojmo - Fehérvár AV 19	5:2 ✺
05.02.22	Orli Znojmo - TWK Innsbruck	3:2 ✺
04.02.22	Orli Znojmo - Dornbirn	7:4 ✺
02.02.22	Villacher - Orli Znojmo	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWL
- Villacher SV Hockey
Austrian Ice Hockey League
10.02.22	TWK Innsbruck - Villacher	2:4 ✺
09.02.22	TWK Innsbruck - Villacher	3:6 ✺
06.02.22	Villacher - Fehérvár AV 19	5:3 ✺
05.02.22	Villacher - Dornbirn	5:0 ✺
02.02.22	Villacher - Orli Znojmo	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
02.02.22	Villacher - Orli Znojmo	6:2
15.10.21	Orli Znojmo - Villacher	2:5
03.10.21	Villacher - Orli Znojmo	6:1
21.02.20	Villacher - Orli Znojmo	2:1 OT
14.02.20	Orli Znojmo - Villacher	2:4
19.01.20	Villacher - Orli Znojmo	4:3
06.12.19	Orli Znojmo - Villacher	3:0

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