Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 8

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	EHC Lustenau		KAC II

	1	X	2
	1.28	6	6.25
	1.28	5.95	6.15
	1.26	5.4	6.5
	1.29	6.8	7.34
	1.3	6.15	6.44
	1.32	5.4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.38)	5.95 ↑ (5.43)	6.51 ↑ (5.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EHC Lustenau
70.7%

Draw
15.3%

KAC II
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

17%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

16.5%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EHC Lustenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

KAC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EHC Lustenau than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KAC II than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

EHC Lustenau - KAC II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lustenau won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Lustenau is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lustenau to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Lustenau won 19 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 93-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Lustenau won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 43-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Lustenau
Alps Hockey League
15.02.24	Unterland Cavaliers - EHC Lustenau	5:4 ✺
03.02.24	Fassa - EHC Lustenau	6:7 ✺
01.02.24	EHC Lustenau - Kitzbühel	6:4 ✺
27.01.24	KAC II - EHC Lustenau	3:1 ✺
20.01.24	EHC Lustenau - Unterland Cavaliers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWLW
- EC KAC II
Alps Hockey League
15.02.24	KAC II - Kitzbühel	1:6 ✺
03.02.24	Kitzbühel - KAC II	6:1 ✺
01.02.24	KAC II - Unterland Cavaliers	7:1 ✺
27.01.24	KAC II - EHC Lustenau	3:1 ✺
25.01.24	Fassa - KAC II	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
27.01.24	KAC II - EHC Lustenau	3:1
01.12.23	KAC II - EHC Lustenau	3:7
04.11.23	EHC Lustenau - KAC II	6:2
02.02.23	EHC Lustenau - KAC II	4:1
28.01.23	KAC II - EHC Lustenau	0:4
03.12.22	EHC Lustenau - KAC II	4:0
22.10.22	KAC II - EHC Lustenau	0:5

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