Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	EHC Lustenau		Merano Junior

	1	X	2
	1.67	5	3.2
	1.56	4.95	3.65
	1.61	5.12	2.96
	1.8	5	2.75
	1.58	4.9	4.1
	1.58	4.8	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.58)	4.96 ↑ (4.61)	3.42 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EHC Lustenau
55.3%

Draw
18.2%

Merano Junior
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

19.5%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

18.6%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EHC Lustenau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Merano Junior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EHC Lustenau than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merano Junior than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

EHC Lustenau - Merano Junior Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lustenau won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Lustenau have a series of guest games.

Lustenau will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Lustenau to win the game is with odds 1.84.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Lustenau won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 29-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Lustenau won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Lustenau
Alps Hockey League
12.10.23	Kitzbühel - EHC Lustenau	4:5 OT ✺
07.10.23	Ritten-Renon - EHC Lustenau	1:3 ✺
05.10.23	EHC Lustenau - Steel Wings Linz	3:2 ✺
30.09.23	Celje - EHC Lustenau	4:3 ✺
29.09.23	Acroni Jesenice - EHC Lustenau	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWLL
- Merano Junior
Alps Hockey League
12.10.23	Merano Junior - KAC II	4:1 ✺
07.10.23	Unterland Cavaliers - Merano Junior	6:1 ✺
05.10.23	Merano Junior - Zell am See	2:5 ✺
30.09.23	Cortina - Merano Junior	5:1 ✺
28.09.23	Merano Junior - Celje	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
16.02.23	EHC Lustenau - Merano Junior	4:1
26.01.23	Merano Junior - EHC Lustenau	2:6
22.12.22	Merano Junior - EHC Lustenau	5:4
29.10.22	EHC Lustenau - Merano Junior	8:2
22.01.22	EHC Lustenau - Merano Junior	Canceled
14.10.21	Merano Junior - EHC Lustenau	0:3
28.12.13	Merano Junior - EHC Lustenau	5:4 OT

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