Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE

Date: 12 October 2023, Thursday


	Merano Junior		KAC II

	1	X	2
	2.05	4	2.7
	2.09	4.05	2.55
	2.09	3.47	2.49
	2.1	3.75	2.6
	2.15	4.25	2.62
	2.11	4.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.87)	3.95 ↓ (4.1)	2.59 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merano Junior
42.7%

Draw
22.7%

KAC II
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

21.9%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

20.5%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merano Junior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Merano Junior's form might have worsened.

KAC II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merano Junior than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merano Junior, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KAC II than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KAC II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Merano Junior - KAC II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Merano won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently KAC II have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Merano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Merano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merano Junior
Alps Hockey League
07.10.23	Unterland Cavaliers - Merano Junior	6:1 ✺
05.10.23	Merano Junior - Zell am See	2:5 ✺
30.09.23	Cortina - Merano Junior	5:1 ✺
28.09.23	Merano Junior - Celje	5:0 ✺
23.09.23	Merano Junior - Fassa	5:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWW
- EC KAC II
Alps Hockey League
07.10.23	KAC II - Kitzbühel	5:1 ✺
05.10.23	KAC II - Gherdëina	6:1 ✺
30.09.23	KAC II - Zell am See	1:9 ✺
28.09.23	Fassa - KAC II	6:2 ✺
26.09.23	KAC II - Vipiteno	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
23.02.23	Merano Junior - KAC II	4:8
18.02.23	KAC II - Merano Junior	5:2
27.09.22	KAC II - Merano Junior	9:2
17.09.22	Merano Junior - KAC II	3:2
20.11.21	Merano Junior - KAC II	4:3
16.10.21	KAC II - Merano Junior	3:2

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