Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday


	Ritten-Renon		EHC Lustenau

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.75	2.8
	1.87	4	3
	1.9	3.6	2.76
	2	3.5	2.75
	2	4.15	2.94
	1.95	4.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.75)	3.85 ↓ (4.09)	2.88 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ritten-Renon
45.6%

Draw
23.2%

EHC Lustenau
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

22%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

21.1%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ritten-Renon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ritten-Renon's form might have worsened.

EHC Lustenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ritten-Renon than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ritten-Renon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EHC Lustenau than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for EHC Lustenau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ritten Renon - EHC Lustenau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ritten-Renon won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Ritten-Renon have a series of guest games.

Ritten-Renon will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Ritten-Renon won 15 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 83-56.

Including matches at home between the teams Ritten-Renon won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 41-24.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportverein Ritten-Renon
Alps Hockey League
05.10.23	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Ritten-Renon	3:4 OT ✺
01.10.23	Acroni Jesenice - Ritten-Renon	4:1 ✺
28.09.23	Ritten-Renon - Kitzbühel	4:1 ✺
24.09.23	Cortina - Ritten-Renon	5:4 penalties ✺
21.09.23	Celje - Ritten-Renon	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLW
- EHC Lustenau
Alps Hockey League
05.10.23	EHC Lustenau - Steel Wings Linz	3:2 ✺
30.09.23	Celje - EHC Lustenau	4:3 ✺
29.09.23	Acroni Jesenice - EHC Lustenau	6:3 ✺
23.09.23	EHC Lustenau - Kitzbühel	4:3 OT ✺
21.09.23	EHC Lustenau - Fassa	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
10.12.22	EHC Lustenau - Ritten-Renon	4:7
05.11.22	Ritten-Renon - EHC Lustenau	4:1
03.03.22	EHC Lustenau - Ritten-Renon	3:2
23.12.21	EHC Lustenau - Ritten-Renon	0:4
04.11.21	Ritten-Renon - EHC Lustenau	7:3
23.03.21	EHC Lustenau - Ritten-Renon	6:2
20.03.21	Ritten-Renon - EHC Lustenau	2:7

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