Match Info

Date: 3 April 2021, Saturday


	EHC Lustenau		Pustertal-Val Pusteria

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	4.5
	1.48	4.8	4.4
	1.55	4.85	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (2.64)	4.72 ↑ (4.5)	4.53 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EHC Lustenau
60.5%

Draw
19.4%

Pustertal-Val Pusteria
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

20.2%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

14.9%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EHC Lustenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EHC Lustenau's performance.

Pustertal-Val Pusteria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pustertal-Val Pusteria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EHC Lustenau than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with EHC Lustenau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pustertal-Val Pusteria than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pustertal-Val Pusteria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

EHC Lustenau - Pustertal Val Pusteria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

2nd leg. Lustenau leads series 1-0.

Lustenau is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Pustertal-Val Pusteria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pustertal-Val Pusteria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Pustertal-Val Pusteria have a series of home games.

In this match Lustenau is a favorite.

Recent matches Pustertal-Val Pusteria is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Last 13 head-to-head matches Lustenau won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 31-36.

Including matches at home between the teams Lustenau won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-18.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Lustenau
Alps Hockey League
01.04.21	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - EHC Lustenau	0:6 ✺
23.03.21	EHC Lustenau - Ritten-Renon	6:2 ✺
20.03.21	Ritten-Renon - EHC Lustenau	2:7 ✺
18.03.21	EHC Lustenau - Asiago	5:1 ✺
13.03.21	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - EHC Lustenau	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWWWL
- HC Pustertal-Val Pusteria
Alps Hockey League
01.04.21	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - EHC Lustenau	0:6 ✺
18.03.21	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Red Bull Salzburg 2	2:4 ✺
13.03.21	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - EHC Lustenau	6:1 ✺
10.03.21	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	2:4 ✺
06.03.21	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Acroni Jesenice	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
01.04.21	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - EHC Lustenau	0:6
13.03.21	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - EHC Lustenau	6:1
04.03.21	EHC Lustenau - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	1:3
26.12.19	EHC Lustenau - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	2:3 OT
28.09.19	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - EHC Lustenau	1:2
09.03.19	EHC Lustenau - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	5:3
11.10.18	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - EHC Lustenau	2:1

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